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Latest predictions

14 hours ago
horsefeathers predicted 9.1% - 9.5% (H$300 at 24%) on How low will the unemployment rate go in 2010?
14 hours ago
horsefeathers predicted 8.6% - 9.0% (H$697 at 42%) on How low will the unemployment rate go in 2010?
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horsefeathers predicted 8.1% - 8.5% (H$100 at 3%) on How low will the unemployment rate go in 2010?

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Featured question

Will there be a black U.S. major network news anchor by Jan. 1, 2011?.

Yes
50%
No
50%

Read more...

Activity: H$16,500
Question suspends in 41 weeks
1 7 30 365
day(s)
See:
 
1 predictor (1 day)

How low will the unemployment rate go in 2010?

Current forecast: 8.6% - 9.0% (35% chance3%)
0 predictors (1 day)

When will the number of unemployed in the USA drop below 4 million?

Current forecast: week of July 3 or beyond or never (84% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)
tlwinslow

Will there be a black U.S. major network news anchor by Jan. 1, 2011?

Current forecast: 50% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

When will UK Unemployment drop below 2,250,000?

Current forecast: Q1, 2011 (Jan - March) (17% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Is Toyota's Shim a Sham? Will this fix its accelerator problems?

Current forecast: Shims considered a sham: unsafe (55% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Chuck Yeager get Virgin back

Current forecast: 49% chance
0 predictors (1 day)

When will weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the USA drop below 400,000?

Current forecast: June 13 or beyond or never (40% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

Will Nicholas Nassim Taleb be awarded the "Nobel Prize in Economics" before 2015?

Current forecast: Taleb does not receive the prize. (92% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

When will the unemployment rate in the USA drop below 9%?

Current forecast: After June 2011 or never (34% chance)
0 predictors (1 day)

How widespread the recovery?

Current forecast: 5 states or less share top honors (65% chance)
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