Created Sun 10th Feb 2008 10:22am PST by dan_the_omniscient

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Assuming Kosovo declares independence in February 2008, in which week will it happen?

Dan can you repost and include an outcome regarding Kosovo does not gain independence. This is just so all options are allowed to be voted on.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
All aspects based on local time (gmt+1)

Assuming Kosovo declares independence in February 2008, in which week will it happen?

    10th - 16th

    17th - 23rd

    24th - 29th

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Forecast history, %

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Voided

	10th - 16th	40%
	17th - 23rd	40%
	24th - 29th	20%

Voided Sun 10th Feb 2008 4:36pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 29th Feb 2008 2:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: 10th - 16th: 40%, 17th - 23rd: 40%, 24th - 29th: 20%

Action history:

Created Sun 10th Feb 2008 10:22am PST by dan_the_omniscient

Voided Sun 10th Feb 2008 4:36pm PST by ryanj: Dan can you repost and include an outcome regarding Kosovo does not gain independence. This is just so all options are allowed to be voted on.

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Suspend date: Fri 29th Feb 2008 2:59pm PST
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Predictions (5)

5 predictions

47 weeks ago

infernalmachine predicted 17th - 23rd (H$300 at 45%)

47 weeks ago

satyaki predicted 17th - 23rd (H$50 at 41%)

47 weeks ago

triphoenix predicted 17th - 23rd (H$20 at 40%)

Comments (2)

  1 dan_the_omniscient

"Voided Today 4:36pm PST by thedoctor's picture thedoctor: Dan can you repost and include an outcome regarding Kosovo does not gain independence. This is just so all options are allowed to be voted on."

the wording of my question is very deliberate. plz read it again, the restore it. thx! :-)

posted 47 weeks ago

  2 tickle_me_economy

It seems the wording indicates that the question is regarding the declaration, not actually gaining independence. "In which week will it - the declaration - happen." Am I wrong?

posted 46 weeks ago

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