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Created Tue 12th Feb 2008 2:20pm PST by dan_the_omniscient
All questions » Politics » 

Assuming Kosovo declares independence in February 2008, in which week will it happen?

Settled as 17th - 23rd

http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/02/17/kosovo.independence/index.html

Background:

All aspects based on local time (gmt+1).
Question to be voided should Kosovo not declare independence in February 2008.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
All aspects based on local time (gmt+1).
Question to be voided should Kosovo not declare independence in February 2008.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 10th - 16th
0%
17th - 23rd
98%
24th - 29th
1%
Activity: H$28,508
Settled as 17th - 23rd on Sun 17th Feb 2008 9:20am PST

Suspend date: Fri 29th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sun 17th Feb 2008 9:20am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 17th Feb 2008 7:45am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 10th - 16th: 20%, 17th - 23rd: 50%, 24th - 29th: 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 12th Feb 2008 2:20pm PST by dan_the_omniscient
Edited Wed 13th Feb 2008 6:39am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Settlement requested Sun 17th Feb 2008 8:25am PST by aidoru: http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/02/17/kosovo.independence/index.html
Settled as '17th - 23rd' Sun 17th Feb 2008 9:20am PST by ryanj[Admin]: http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/02/17/kosovo.independence/index.html

Suspend date: Fri 29th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sun 17th Feb 2008 9:20am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 17th Feb 2008 7:45am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (51)

51 predictions

46 weeks ago
vincennes predicted 17th - 23rd (H$100 at 99%)
46 weeks ago
tickle_me_economy predicted 24th - 29th (H$200 at 6%)
46 weeks ago
andechs predicted 24th - 29th (H$20 at 3%)
46 weeks ago
soproudlywehail predicted 17th - 23rd (H$100 at 90%)
46 weeks ago
ladylara predicted 17th - 23rd (H$100 at 89%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 dan_the_omniscient
admins/moderators: plz take the time to read the question AND specific settlement details before getting happy with ur void button.
posted 47 weeks ago
  2 dan_the_omniscient
oops! settlement details went to background info. will an admin/moderator plz fix?
posted 47 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
I don't know Dan that void button looks so tempting...
Fixed it. Anything else just drop me an email.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 47 weeks ago
  4 ryanj[Admin]
I'm going to keep the settlement info in the background so users, can understand what they are submitting themselves to.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 47 weeks ago
  5 dan_the_omniscient
very good. thx!
posted 47 weeks ago
  6 theonecalledmichael
What if they don't? does everyone lose?
posted 46 weeks ago
  7 lesley[Admin]
If the condition isn't met, i.e. they don't declare their independence by the end of the month, then the question will be voided. And everyone gets their stakes back.
posted 46 weeks ago
  8 dan_the_omniscient
as stated in the background info:
"All aspects based on local time (gmt+1).
Question to be voided should Kosovo not declare independence in February 2008."
posted 46 weeks ago

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