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At the end of February, which will be ranked higher: Google or Yahoo!

Settled as Yahoo

http://siteanalytics.compete.com/yahoo.com+google.com/?metric=uv

Background:


Settlement details: As reported by http://siteanalytics.compete.com/yahoo.com+google.com/?metric=uv

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yahoo
95%
Google
2%
Same rank
2%
Activity: H$260,860
Settled as Yahoo on Thu 6th Mar 2008 8:43am PST

Suspend date: Mon 10th Mar 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 6th Mar 2008 8:43am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yahoo : 55%, Google: 44%, Same rank: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 17th Feb 2008 7:46am PST by rohan
Suspended Sat 1st Mar 2008 4:38am PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Sat 1st Mar 2008 4:44am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Clarified Sat 1st Mar 2008 4:47am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Suspend date extended. Compete have informed me there information tends to be updated about 1.5 weeks after the month end.
Settlement requested Sun 2nd Mar 2008 7:32am PST by jakob: I think it's yahoo!

http://siteanalytics.compete.com/yahoo.com+google.com/?metric=uv
Settlement requested Sun 2nd Mar 2008 8:54am PST by jcarls1: "At the end of February"

its March.....
Suspended Sun 2nd Mar 2008 12:22pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Unsuspended Sun 2nd Mar 2008 12:27pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Settlement requested Mon 3rd Mar 2008 12:56am PST by rubberhopper: It is March already
Settlement requested Mon 3rd Mar 2008 4:11am PST by sirch: It's been the end of February, source as in question
Clarified Mon 3rd Mar 2008 4:31am PST by lesley[Admin]: Compete.com don't have their results for Feb available until a week after the end of the month. The question will remain open until the results are available.
Settlement requested Mon 3rd Mar 2008 2:30pm PST by cmyro: event has concluded
Settlement requested Tue 4th Mar 2008 5:43pm PST by capecodviking: it is March already
Edited Wed 5th Mar 2008 1:46pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Settlement requested Thu 6th Mar 2008 7:38am PST by greggles: February data is posted http://siteanalytics.compete.com/yahoo.com+google.com/?metric=uv
Suspended Thu 6th Mar 2008 8:42am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: About to settle
Settled as 'Yahoo ' Thu 6th Mar 2008 8:43am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/yahoo.com+google.com/?metric=uv

Suspend date: Mon 10th Mar 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 6th Mar 2008 8:43am PST
more info...

 

Predictions (423)

423 predictions

43 weeks ago
galahaut predicted Yahoo (H$100 at 97%)
44 weeks ago
henrichin predicted Google (H$20 at 2%)
44 weeks ago
scabr predicted Yahoo (H$100 at 98%)
44 weeks ago
rohan predicted Same rank (H$100 at 1%)
44 weeks ago
faby predicted Google (H$50 at 2%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 markov
The settlement site appears to be substantially at odds with another site:

http://searchenginewatch.com/showPage.html?page=2156451

which tracks search engines. I realize the time frame is slightly different but it seems unlikely that there could have been such a dramatic shift in market share between Google and Yahoo over six months time. There is something dubious about the settlement information. I am not suggesting it is intentional or unintentional or wrong for that matter but it does seem out of whack.
posted 46 weeks ago
  2 rohan
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Wikia_v_Mahalo_Who_will_prevail_in_2008_285/view

-In this question, compete.com has been used, and a Hubdub admin created it.
posted 46 weeks ago
  3 rohan
Also, yahoo.com isn't the same as the search engine search.yahoo.com
posted 46 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
the site shows that thousands of websites refer to the contest. It is all inclusive. I think it is a good question, that seems to be easy to settle when the time comes.
posted 46 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
Yahoo is used for more than searching, I think that is why the traffic flow is higher than google, and yet google has bigger part of pie in search engine race.
posted 45 weeks ago
  6 lesley[Admin]
Compete.com won't release their stats for Feb until a week after the end of the month, so this question will stay open until then.
posted 44 weeks ago
  7 acidcj
This question should be voided. The question should mean Google Search Engine or Yahoo Search Engine.
posted 44 weeks ago
  8 destry[Admin]
Well "acidcj" there is no way this question could mean anything other than what it was worded as. This page has a clear link for settlement. If you wagered money and aren't happy that you might lose, you should read the question more throughly before wagering.
posted 44 weeks ago

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