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BSE Sensex: Open up or down? (Mar 19th)

Settled as Up

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EBSESN


Settlement details: As reported by http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EBSESN

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Up
83%
Down
17%
Activity: H$15,192
Settled as Up on Wed 19th Mar 2008 1:38am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 18th Mar 2008 9:50pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 19th Mar 2008 1:38am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 18th Mar 2008 9:50pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Up: 50%, Down: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Mar 2008 8:43am PDT by rohan
Suspended Tue 18th Mar 2008 9:50pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 18th Mar 2008 10:27pm PDT by orlin: Prev Close: 14,833.46
Open: 15,325.79


http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EBSESN
Settled as 'Up' Wed 19th Mar 2008 1:38am PDT by andrew: http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EBSESN

Suspend date: Tue 18th Mar 2008 9:50pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 19th Mar 2008 1:38am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 18th Mar 2008 9:50pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

42 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Down (H$100 at 3%)
42 weeks ago
mattsnever predicted Down (H$50 at 10%)
42 weeks ago
monkeynacho predicted Down (H$100 at 6%)
42 weeks ago
epicur predicted Down (H$20 at 4%)

Comments (85)

Is the outcome to this question unknown until it's revealed? What is the influence of the Mini Future (BSE) on the opening number? (see http://www.bseindia.com/) I just don't understand the 93% Yes two hours before open with $11K activity. This is not at all like the Yes/No spread on Dow open questions.
posted 42 weeks ago
i just put 3 grand in for fun, don't know squat about the stock market but i've got a 50/50 chance with only two choices
posted 42 weeks ago
oops sorry it was the dow jones i bet on the 50/50
posted 42 weeks ago
there now i've got 3000 on both
posted 42 weeks ago
the gambler!
posted 42 weeks ago
  6 bcguelph
where does one ask general questions about hubdub - is there a site or location that I cannot find? I'm looking for a place to ask users not Hubdub staff.
posted 42 weeks ago
  7 pics4d
other than getsatisfaction not yet bc..alot of users watch the recent comments tho, so we stay in contact thru that...whats up?
posted 42 weeks ago
  8 bcguelph
when will the site go to "live" and what will that mean?
posted 42 weeks ago
  9 pics4d
it means when it goes out of beta and most of the bugs/issues get resolved...their still adding functionality and features and such and want to make sure people actually enjoy the site before they start advertising and getting more investment....as far as when it will be, i'm not sure
posted 42 weeks ago
  10 bcguelph
Will users be asked to pay for use of the site? Will there be any warning when the beta is concluded?
posted 42 weeks ago
so when it goes out of beta do we Hubdubbers become bugs or issues ?
posted 42 weeks ago
  12 bcguelph
I have found it enjoyable to "play". I don't know if I'll continue much longer, but for now it is a pleasant pass time (at least until the Blue Jay's season starts!)

Thanks for the input.
posted 42 weeks ago
  13 pics4d
i would assume that we would see advertisements, but a fee is always a possibility...i'm sure they would let us know when it will occur....should be pretty exciting for them cause it would mean their business proposal was a hit or whatnot...they actually were invited to some conference or something in san fran recently
posted 42 weeks ago
  14 bcguelph
I'm at $41,000 net, but I can't keep pace with the rate of increase the top 20 achieve, so i doubt I'll ever get there. I have limited time to play as well. I figure the higher players put some time into it, or have experience/insight into a particular area (business, sports, etc.) Am I right?
posted 42 weeks ago
  15 pics4d
Hubdub.com is one of 20 UK companies hand-picked to attend Web Mission 2008, a new initiative set up to enable successful UK-based entrepreneurs to build relationships with influential people in Silicon Valley and explore possible future opportunities.
posted 42 weeks ago
  16 bcguelph
I mostly play the political stuff. I have the impression that on the market questions, for example, some folks have a lot more insight than me and I'd get killed if I ventured there. However, it seems like that is where the volume (read: profits) are.
posted 42 weeks ago
  17 pics4d
well, i'm just a news junkie...i do spend way too much time on here right now tho, but i think its more of just how well you can judge current events and how other people react mostly
posted 42 weeks ago
  18 bcguelph
The web mission thing sounds good for them. I'll stick around in Beta mode....
posted 42 weeks ago
  19 pics4d
i made a few grand on the markets when i first started but i've made most of my money on politics and general questions...crudsy, the leader right now is killing on the sports questions...
posted 42 weeks ago
  20 bcguelph
It is more about predicting ow others react than being able to predict events. I have very few positions that I actually hold until they settle. Mostly I just find soft positions, bet, and watch them go up and then bail before settlement.

Of course I also have positions that have fallen after purchase, so I'm holdin onto them.
posted 42 weeks ago
  21 bcguelph
I've noticed the sports bias. In future they need to align their sports questions with an odds maker. If every game/match is initially launched as a 50/50 all you have to do is pick-up an odds sheet and play the favourites. Something I don't have time for (nor is my ego wrapped-up in what my Hubdub rank is!!!).
posted 42 weeks ago
  22 pics4d
yeah, almost all of my predictions i cash out on..probably have about 5 times as many cashouts as settled and usually it's just gettin in at the right time...like i made 17k today on a question about if gold would close above 1,000....as soon as the fed announced a rate cut gold started falling and i threw in 10k at 30 something percent
posted 42 weeks ago
  23 pics4d
yeah, i've noticed that about the sports Q's too...some of them are at 50/50 others are at better aligned odds
posted 42 weeks ago
  24 bcguelph
Right, so you make money if you log on often and search for weak positions. I've made a bunch on poorly weighted questions.

There is one question that is making me crazy - will Sylvester Stallone get an Oscar in 2009? NO is only at 73%. Don't tell that to the people at Web Mission 2008 - makes the site look pretty dumb!
posted 42 weeks ago
  25 pics4d
yeah pretty much...the people with the most money, in order to increase have to bet large amounts, that throws the odds off and then everyone else evens it up...or when a news story first breaks, it'll shift the odds...i haven't seen that one about stallone, can't believe its only 73 also....has he EVER won an oscar?
posted 42 weeks ago
  26 bcguelph
He's never been nominated! I'd give odds that he's 99% unlikely to even get nominated in 2009. Obviously, the site isn't THAT good at predicting.
posted 42 weeks ago
  27 pics4d
i usually watch the newest and the closing soon ones....people like to wager right when stuff closes and alot of times i believe differently than most people so the newer Q's will give me a percentage i'll wager on....but yeah, mostly just playing the odds, buy low sell high
posted 42 weeks ago
  28 pics4d
:) it is quite a ways away tho, that's proly why
posted 42 weeks ago
I've looked at the odds sites but they often don't have odds for tomorrow's games yet. Makes it hard to set the right ones here.
posted 42 weeks ago
the problem with starting odds is that if you post what you think the odds should be the question will be voided. at least half of my voided questions were because of the starting odds. now i limit my questions from 40 to 60 or even odds in multiple choice
posted 42 weeks ago
  31 bcguelph
The problem with the stallone question is similar to many - the settlement period is too long to make money off of it. My $400 on that question could make 200 times that between now and next February, so why bet?

FYI - I leave it in because it would just kill me to see his odds get better!!!
posted 42 weeks ago
  32 pics4d
wow 26 grand....must be some sly-lovers up in here
posted 42 weeks ago
  33 bcguelph
Well if this is beta mode, they need to consider how to neutralize the sports betting so that the initial offer is close to neutral.
posted 42 weeks ago
  34 bcguelph
sly-lovers need their money taken.
posted 42 weeks ago
  35 pics4d
hmm...i've never had probs with my odds..even my 5% one http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Neil_Armstrong_publicly_admit_that_the_moon_landing_was_faked_before_his_death_3193/view
not like i could set it any different tho
@meandering - you're a bug, i've got issues
posted 42 weeks ago
  36 pics4d
one thing they're coming out with soon is power users - users that are on the site often - will be confirming wording and starting odds so that should help out with those things
posted 42 weeks ago
so i can be a nit while you sit and spin your head around while spewing green pea soup?
posted 42 weeks ago
  38 bcguelph
FINAL QUESTION for me tonight - and thank you for you replies...

What's with the Roadies questions and the earthquake questions? Seems to me like a couple of keeners know a lot about very specific topics and try to goad us all into betting.
posted 42 weeks ago
  39 pics4d
altho i dont follow sports much either and will proly just have a page open with the standings if they happen to let me vet questions
posted 42 weeks ago
  40 bcguelph
meanering just lost me - green pea soup??
posted 42 weeks ago
  41 bcguelph
The standings wouldn't do it. You need injury reports, recent trades, streaks, injuries, etc. Sports betters have a TON of information.
posted 42 weeks ago
  42 pics4d
hmm...the earthquake ones i like...i play almost every one i see...the roadies ones are a tv show in india or something apparently, we have quite a few users from around there...there was a topic brought up in getsatisfaction about the gaming ability of the roadies Q's but more people have been playing them recently
posted 42 weeks ago
i just post questions from sites i stroll everyday
bc relates to pics cyber meltdown over the last few days. it alluded to the exorcist you cute little linda blair with a tongue like gene simmons
posted 42 weeks ago
  44 pics4d
oh, i went off on the staff the other day and "resigned"...its an exorcist reference about me going crazy :)
posted 42 weeks ago
the got the numbers for the players from india... i added reuters india to my favorites
posted 42 weeks ago
  46 bcguelph
ah, I missed that. I joined in on the Spitzer fiasco myself. the staff screwed-up, but i made a killing once I understood how their interpretation was going to decide the question (which opposed how people were betting). I made $10,000 that day!!

But, Pics, they made multiple mistakes.
posted 42 weeks ago
  47 pics4d
hah...i gotta short tongue actually....i got it pierced four times and when i first got it done i wanted two of them, but my tongue was too short to put both down the middle, so he put them side by side...later i added another on each side out near the edges
posted 42 weeks ago
  48 bcguelph
what the hell is this guy talking about?

Maybe he SHOULD resign.
posted 42 weeks ago
  49 pics4d
yeah i know...that's why i came back...i was actually out of the spitzer question...it was about a clarification on a different question and i blew it out of proportion
posted 42 weeks ago
  50 pics4d
lol
posted 42 weeks ago
  51 bcguelph
short tongue??
posted 42 weeks ago
the ones you have to watch are the weather questions the poster has already checked the forecast and knows a liiiitle bit more than they let on. posted one question once and lesley commented on gaming. had to let her know that sometimes i forget to bet on my own questions
posted 42 weeks ago
  53 bcguelph
I can't believe that I actually typed - short tongue??

Oh shit, I did it again!!
posted 42 weeks ago
  54 pics4d
gene simmons from kiss...he's gotta long ass tongue, i can barely stick mine out past my lips....meanderingsearcher mentioned it
posted 42 weeks ago
  55 bcguelph
The inside jokes are getting creepy. I'm headed for bed folks! Thanks for the education on Hubdub. There are no more "newest" questions for the day, so I'm off!

Canada needs sleep...
posted 42 weeks ago
  56 pics4d
i got half an ear too...got bit off by a dog in a drunken fight....all my friends started calling me keebler...tried to call me spock but i didn't like that much
posted 42 weeks ago
  57 pics4d
have a good night bc...glad i could help, hope u like the site
posted 42 weeks ago
  58 bcguelph
pics is crazy or drunk
posted 42 weeks ago
  59 pics4d
lol...i'm serious...i'm just a freak
posted 42 weeks ago
  60 bcguelph
pics -are you a user or do you work for the site?
posted 42 weeks ago
  61 pics4d
just a user
posted 42 weeks ago
  62 bcguelph
I'll send you a friend request - makes communication easier. That ok?
posted 42 weeks ago
  63 pics4d
i think all the creators are from scotland
posted 42 weeks ago
  64 pics4d
yeah thats kewl
posted 42 weeks ago
  65 bcguelph
where you from?
posted 42 weeks ago
bc are you in guelph?
posted 42 weeks ago
  67 bcguelph
yes
posted 42 weeks ago
  68 pics4d
i'm in oklahoma right now, but i've traveled all over the u.s. and into canada a little, when i was younger...lived in more places than years i've been on this earth
posted 42 weeks ago
we moved from cambridge two years ago
posted 42 weeks ago
  70 bcguelph
I actually live in Kitchener - -work in Guelph
posted 42 weeks ago
at the university of guelph
posted 42 weeks ago
  72 bcguelph
yes
posted 42 weeks ago
must be bed time there by now bc
posted 42 weeks ago
  74 bcguelph
I'm signing off before I learn of another piercing location on pics4d!

Feel free to contact me anytime with non-Green pea soup related topics.
posted 42 weeks ago
  75 pics4d
:) kewl see u later
posted 42 weeks ago
pics check this site, questions from should make some people squirrelly
http://www.armageddononline.org/
posted 42 weeks ago
  77 pics4d
shoot...my friend kenny split his tongue down the middle...it's like a snake tongue now....pierced it and let that heal, then looped some fishing line real tight thru the hole and out the front...split it in 2 weeks
posted 42 weeks ago
okay pics so how nay tats you got
posted 42 weeks ago
*many
posted 42 weeks ago
if someone asked me what BSE Sensex was i would have to guess it means birth control for cows with mad cow disease and we using it for chatroom
posted 42 weeks ago
  81 pics4d
5 tattoos, 16 brandings, 9 piercings now - 4 in tongue, my septum, 2 on back of neck(handles), 1 on side of neck(vampire kiss) and one gold barbell down below(apadravya)...had like 20 piercings at one time but taken most out
posted 42 weeks ago
  82 pics4d
lol...i posted a mad-cow disease question and put BSE for a news topic and now there's a buncha exchange news on it
posted 42 weeks ago
  83 pics4d
thats a kewl site...i'll have to delve into it and come up with some Q's for here
posted 42 weeks ago
anyway dude it's been a hoot talk to you later
posted 42 weeks ago
  85 pics4d
see ya
posted 42 weeks ago

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