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By 2010, the US will have agreed to cut greenhouse gas emissions by:
Current forecast: < 25% (65% chance
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)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is < 25% with a probability of 65% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Climate change is one of the major political issues of our time. Will the US finally agree to carbon caps?
Settlement details:
As reported by the New York Times.
Make your prediction!
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< 25% |
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25 - 40% |
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> 40% |
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Activity: H$3,877
Question suspends in 51 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 2nd Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: < 25%: 35%, 25 - 40%: 60%, > 40%: 5%
Action history:
ryanj
Suspend date: Sat 2nd Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (19)
19 predictions
rogerkni
predicted < 25% (H$1,000 at 57%)
storekeeperathscm
predicted < 25% (H$20 at 48%)
peddi
predicted > 40% (H$20 at 5%)
freedenboy
predicted < 25% (H$20 at 49%)
predicted < 25% (H$20 at 47%)
tickle_me_economy
predicted < 25% (H$5 at 44%)
predicted < 25% (H$100 at 38%)
predicted > 40% (H$20 at 5%)Comments (1)
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