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By March 13, 2008, will the office of hubdub decide when Elliot Spitzer resigned?

Settled as Yes

The "Office of Hubdub" has stated how the Spitzer markets will be settled and has settled them. Therefore we have answered "when Elliot Spitzer resigned."


Settlement details: As indicated here: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/When_will_New_York_Governor_Elliot_Spitzer_resign_as_a_result_of_his_involvement_in_a_prostitution_ring_scandal_3983

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
56%
No
44%
Activity: H$1,588
Settled as Yes on Fri 14th Mar 4:36am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 14th Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 14th Mar 4:36am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 14th Mar 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 12th Mar 5:55pm PDT by mork[Power User]
Edited Thu 13th Mar 7:53am PDT by diana
Settlement requested Thu 13th Mar 8:25am PDT by bcguelph: This question was decided by Ryan half an hour ago when he settled the original spitzer question.

The "yes" side wins this as the office "decided" by March 13.
Suspended Thu 13th Mar 12:51pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Suspended Fri 14th Mar 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled Fri 14th Mar 4:36am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The "Office of Hubdub" has stated how the Spitzer markets will be settled and has settled them. Therefore we have answered "when Elliot Spitzer resigned."
Previous action withdrawn Fri 14th Mar 4:36am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 14th Mar 4:36am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The "Office of Hubdub" has stated how the Spitzer markets will be settled and has settled them. Therefore we have answered "when Elliot Spitzer resigned."

Suspend date: Fri 14th Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 14th Mar 4:36am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 14th Mar 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

35 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Yes (H$100 at 52%)
35 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Yes (H$100 at 52%)
35 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
35 weeks ago
Erik predicted No (H$200 at 49%)
35 weeks ago
Erik predicted No (H$500 at 47%)
more

Comments (20)

  1 bcguelph
What major news source do you suggest will verify the results? And, what do you suggest if every major news source interprets the results one way, and the Hubdub staff sees it another way?

I have little faith that "the office of hubdub" can settle this question any better than the original Spitzer story, so I'm not wagering on it!
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 mork[Power User]
Read the settlement details.
posted 35 weeks ago
what if they void the question?
posted 35 weeks ago
not this question, the one pointed to in the settlement
posted 35 weeks ago
i bet $20 on no. But can we get a clarification on "decide"? What if they settle it, but have doubts? Can belarusia bring a dictionary? lol.
posted 35 weeks ago
  6 epicur
Unless Spitzer resigns by 3/13, the office of hubdub can't decide when Elliot Spitzer resigned.
posted 35 weeks ago
  7 mork[Power User]
no comment
posted 35 weeks ago
  8 randburg
Unless someone resigns themselves to the meaning of "resign", there will be more resignations today...but no verdict. I'm putting H$ 20 on "no".

Can belarusia have a paid vacation?
posted 35 weeks ago
the dictionary is MINE, ty. ;)
posted 35 weeks ago
  10 Erik
This is too easy. According to http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Governor_Elliot_Spitzer_resign_from_office_on_31108_4089 He has only announced his resignation and won't resign untill Monday. So, are we to think he may say, "Ah hell, i'll go ahead and resign today, just to get it outta the way." ???? This is easy money, the answer will be, "No".
posted 35 weeks ago
  11 bcguelph
As I see it, Hubdub "decided" half an hour ago. This question too (like the original Spitzer questions) is being left open after the fact!

So ironic.
posted 35 weeks ago
  12 jarrod
Depends on how you look at it. If you go by Ryan's comments on the original question it was decided yesterday how to settle the the matter of when he resigns. This means that they have, in fact, decided by March 13th. The answer would be "Yes."
posted 35 weeks ago
sorry to dan_the_omniscient. it's just that you probably posted once, while belarusia posted it many times in many places.
posted 35 weeks ago
np, im just playing. :)
posted 35 weeks ago
  15 Erik
jarred- almost, but not quite. The question isn't, "By March 13, 2008, will the office of hubdub decide when Elliot Spitzer resigns?" Rather, "...resigned?" He hasn't resigned, yet. And barring any surprises, by the end of the day he still hasn't resigned. So Hubdub, nor anyone else will be able to decide when he resigned until he does so. The past tense "resigned" seems to be the key, here.
posted 35 weeks ago
When did Spitzer Resign as Governor? YESTERDAY!
posted 35 weeks ago
can u cite a definition of "resign" to back up ur claim?
posted 35 weeks ago
  18 mozrules
lol theonecalledmichael - according to hubdub, there hasn't been a resignation yet.

just goes to show, you can't believe all the news you read or saw on tv yesterday! ;-)
posted 35 weeks ago
  19 mork[Power User]
not everything on the internet is true
posted 35 weeks ago
  20 duckie
most is lies, take me for instance, i dont exist.
posted 35 weeks ago

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