Created Tue 4th Mar 2008 5:20am PST by

phred

Death pool: Who will die first?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Fidel Castro

23%

Pope Benedict XVI

Jimmy Carter

Britney Spears

21%

Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens

Queen Elizabeth II

14%

Lindsey Lohan

Paris Hilton

King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia

12%

George H.W. Bush

Open question (no suspend date)

Activity: H$71,562
Predictions: 506
Comments: 12

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Fidel Castro: 27%, Pope Benedict XVI: 14%, Jimmy Carter: 8%, Britney Spears: 8%, Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens: 8%, Queen Elizabeth II: 8%, Lindsey Lohan: 4%, Paris Hilton: 3%, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia: 11%, George H.W. Bush: 9%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Mar 2008 5:20am PST by

phred

Edited Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:15am PST by

diana

hide

Suspend date: None details

Get widget!

Post on Digg Delicious Reddit Facebook

Predictions (506)

3 days ago

thecrazycanuck Level 10, Genius (H$12,307)

predicted King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia (H$100 at 10%)

3 days ago

thecrazycanuck Level 10, Genius (H$12,307)

predicted Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens (H$100 at 5%)

3 days ago

thecrazycanuck Level 10, Genius (H$12,307)

predicted Jimmy Carter (H$100 at 9%)

3 days ago

baghead Level 10, Genius (H$12,877)

predicted Pope Benedict XVI (H$20 at 10%)

3 days ago

baghead Level 10, Genius (H$12,877)

predicted Jimmy Carter (H$20 at 7%)

Comments (12)

gonzalezbr Level 10, Genius (H$10,400)

is this supposed to be a hard question? lol

posted 1 year ago

myunion Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,473)

If Castro dies you won't hear about it for months. Then the question will be settled when Honorable John Paul Stevens dies. Will it be re-opened and resettled when we find out Castro died months earlier?

posted 1 year ago

bcguelph Level 15, Seer (H$273,959)

posted 1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$102,904)

I'm thinking that's why a safer way of wording it would be something like "Who will be reported to have died first". That way the date when the event is *reported* is what settles the market, not the actual event, which as has been pointed out may not become immediately known. Just my 2 centavos.

posted 1 year ago

ryfly

Why isn't Amy Winehouse on here? That's who get my vote. H$100

posted 1 year ago

gadget666 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,089)

just remember this is who we think will die first, not who we want to die first. if it was who we wanted to die, I would have money on paris, britney, amy , and any other famous for being a coked up slut nobody I could think of

posted 1 year ago

lisaspurbeck Level 1, Newbie (H$932)

do you all know our destiny is written? when he comes, no one knows the hour. so god bless you, when he, jesus, comes.

posted 1 year ago

firechild Level 12, Guru (H$44,044)

I can see the headline now: "Paris Hilton murdered. Hubdub payout suspected motive."

posted 1 year ago

pixelpaws Level 13, Psychic (H$66,877)

How about that Nigerian prince that keeps trying to send me money? If he's that desperate to get rid of it, then surely he's not going to live much longer.

posted 1 year ago

carnacthemagnificent Level 14, Prophet (H$155,961)

Amy Winehouse x2

posted 1 year ago

dragonfangxl Level 7, Pro (H$3,936)

i thought these kinds of questions were banned?

posted 35 weeks ago

dieseldog Level 16, Oracle (H$597,917)

this question was made before the new rules were added. they didn't make them retroactive.

posted 35 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags

score: 10

Pope visits Israel and Palestinian territories

Reuters Canada 27 weeks ago

BETHANY BEYOND THE JORDAN, Jordan (Reuters) - Pope Benedict on Sunday visited the site on the Jordan River where Jesus is believed to have been baptized and urged Christians in the Middle East to play a role in

score: 10

Christians can help shape peace: Pope

The Scotsman 27 weeks ago

POPE Benedict XVI yesterday visited the site on the Jordan River where Jesus is believed to have been baptised, and urged Christians to play a role in seeking peace. Jordan's

score: 10

Pope expresses regret

Globe and Mail 27 weeks ago

at 1:14 EDT Pope Benedict says he regrets offending Muslims in a speech three years ago More stories attached to this video Reuters BETHANY BEYOND THE JORDAN, Jordan ? Pope Benedict on Sunday visited

score: 10

Pope urges Jordan Catholics to keep faith amid strife

Reuters Canada 27 weeks ago

score: 10

Saudi Arabia Bestows Gift to World Scout Foundation

Houston Chronicle 27 weeks ago

WASHINGTON, DC -- (Marketwire) -- 05/09/09 -- The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's Minister of Education and President of the Saudi Arabian Boy Scouts Association, H H Prince Faisal bin Abdullah bin Mohammed, yesterday delivered a $3 million donation to King