Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Did Washington D C Madam, Deborah Jeane Palfrey, commit suicide?

Settled as Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation

http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/05/05/dc.madam/index.html

Background:

Police in Tarpon Springs, Florida, found the body of convicted prostitution ring leader Deborah Jeane Palfrey in a shed near her mother's home. A suicide note was found with the body.

Will the police determine that this was a suicide, or perhaps something more sinister? Her prostitution clients included several high level Washington personalities, including Louisiana Senator David Vitter. What will be the results of their investigation?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation
91%
Authorities rule her death not a suicide and begin an investigation
5%
Authorities do not make any determination by May 31, 2008
4%
Activity: H$39,753
Settled as Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation on Tue 6th May 2008 2:26am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 2:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 12:05pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation: 60%, Authorities rule her death not a suicide and begin an investigation: 30%, Authorities do not make any determination by May 31, 2008: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 1st May 2008 10:40am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Settlement requested Mon 5th May 2008 9:59am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: "Police in Tarpon Springs, Florida, released Palfrey's suicide notes Monday, along with autopsy results confirming her cause of death as a suicide."

http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/05/05/dc.madam/index.html
Settled as 'Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation' Tue 6th May 2008 2:26am PDT by diana: http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/05/05/dc.madam/index.html

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 2:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 12:05pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

35 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation (H$10,000 at 98%)
35 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation (H$5,000 at 93%)
35 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation (H$20 at 90%)
35 weeks ago
allenger predicted Authorities rule her death a suicide and there is no further investigation (H$200 at 87%)
35 weeks ago
alison78 predicted Authorities do not make any determination by May 31, 2008 (H$20 at 6%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 coolkraft
I find it interesting that 3 times i have tried to get a new question as to whether her black book and its contents will ever be revealed and the question goes NOWHERE......each time it disappears....strange
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 ryanb37
what if they rule it a suicide but still investigate it to tie up loose ends where is that option?
posted 35 weeks ago
  3 mrperfkt[Admin]
"Police in Tarpon Springs, Florida, released Palfrey's suicide notes Monday, along with autopsy results confirming her cause of death as a suicide."
Both autopsy and police provided information "confirming" this to be a suicide.
Settlement requested.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/05/05/dc.madam/index.html
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 bcguelph
mrperfkt - send your note to the flagged section if you think settlement is warranted.
posted 35 weeks ago
  5 mrperfkt[Admin]
ok. thanks, bcguelph. does anyone else agree? there was no response to settlement request. i don't want to screw up someone else's (bayou's) question, if this wasn't the intention of the question (perhaps new information could come up before the suspend time; however, i have yet to see anything even suggesting there was even a case - just that the police were waiting for the autopsy results). seemed obvious to me and i'm not sure what else would settle it other than a new story coming out.

however, it is very tempting to cash out and wager H$100 on either of the other 2 options, which are worth H$11,000! lol :)
posted 35 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more