Created Sat 8th Mar 2008 5:40am PST by nigeleccles

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Facebook v MySpace: Who will grow faster in March?

Facebook at +9.3% (MySpace +3.9%... ah, symmetry)

Background:

Settlement details: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/facebook.com+myspace.com/?metric=uv

The winner will be site that has the higher monthly PERCENTAGE unique visitor growth in March. Both Facebook and MySpace were down, 8.3% and 2.5% respectively, in February.

Note, Compete reports about a week after the month end.

Facebook v MySpace: Who will grow faster in March?

    Facebook

    MySpace

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Forecast history, %

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Settled

	Facebook	100%
	MySpace	0%

Activity: H$53,687

Settled as Facebook on Sat 5th Apr 2008 6:45am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 7th Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 5th Apr 2008 6:45am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Facebook: 40%, MySpace: 60%

Action history:

Created Sat 8th Mar 2008 5:40am PST by nigeleccles

Settlement requested Sat 5th Apr 2008 5:36am PDT by chris: facebook. stupid internet
(I can't settle it - I've been playing. badly :( )

Settled as 'Facebook' Sat 5th Apr 2008 6:45am PDT by tomg: Facebook at +9.3% (MySpace +3.9%... ah, symmetry)

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Suspend date: Mon 7th Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 5th Apr 2008 6:45am PDT
more info...

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Predictions (172)

172 predictions

39 weeks ago

dzoe predicted Facebook (H$600 at 100%)

39 weeks ago

pasha1978 predicted MySpace (H$50 at 1%)

39 weeks ago

canucksfan9 predicted Facebook (H$20 at 62%)

39 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted MySpace (H$460 at 32%)

39 weeks ago

highlander predicted MySpace (H$20 at 21%)

more

39 weeks ago

dzoe predicted Facebook (H$600 at 100%)

39 weeks ago

pasha1978 predicted MySpace (H$50 at 1%)

39 weeks ago

canucksfan9 predicted Facebook (H$20 at 62%)

39 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted MySpace (H$460 at 32%)

39 weeks ago

highlander predicted MySpace (H$20 at 21%)

39 weeks ago

mangelmann predicted Facebook (H$50 at 73%)

39 weeks ago

mach0024 predicted Facebook (H$100 at 74%)

39 weeks ago

wightnoise predicted Facebook (H$50 at 73%)

39 weeks ago

bigt predicted Facebook (H$300 at 83%)

39 weeks ago

tigerlbmurphy predicted MySpace (H$20 at 17%)

39 weeks ago

tigerlbmurphy predicted Facebook (H$50 at 83%)

39 weeks ago

pepe predicted Facebook (H$100 at 83%)

39 weeks ago

russell predicted Facebook (H$200 at 82%)

39 weeks ago

dxmitche predicted Facebook (H$100 at 82%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (4)

  1 mjackson33

What happens if neither grows? Or is it just the highest % change?

posted 43 weeks ago

  2 nigeleccles

Highest percentage change, therefore if Facebook shrinks by 4% and MySpace by 6% then Facebook is the winner.

posted 43 weeks ago

  3 satyaki

like for example last month MySpace was the winner , right??

posted 43 weeks ago

  4 nigeleccles

Yep, MySpace would have won for February.

posted 43 weeks ago

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