
Gene therapy will be approved by the FDA:
Current forecast: Before 2015 (46% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Before 2015 with a probability of 46% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Gene therapy research has the potential to revolutionise medical procedures but has so far produced many serious side-effects. When will this research by approved by the FDA?
Settlement details:
As reported by the New York Times or Reuters or the BBC
Make your prediction!
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Before 2015 |
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Between 2015 and 2025 |
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After 2025 |
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Activity: H$2,732
Question suspends in 7 years
Suspend date: Mon 11th Jan 2016 11:59pm PST (7 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Before 2015: 40%, Between 2015 and 2025: 40%, After 2025: 20%
Action history:
Suspend date: Mon 11th Jan 2016 11:59pm PST (7 years to go)
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Predictions (14)
14 predictions
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