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HORSE RACING - Who will win the Kentucky Derby on May 03, 2008?

Settled as Big Brown

Race Location: Churchill Downs (Louisville, Kentucky)

Race Distance: 1 1/4 Miles

Horses: 3 years old

Initial percentages somewhat based on odds at time of posting question.

More information at http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2008/contenders


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

If a horse you select to win scratches from the race, and you are not able to "cancel" by Cashing In, then of course your selection will not win.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Adriano
3%
Big Brown
60%
Colonel John
11%
Denis of Cork
1%
Eight Belles
5%
Gayego
1%
Monba
1%
Pyro
6%
Z Fortune
1%
Any other horse not listed.
10%
Activity: H$20,003
Settled as Big Brown on Sun 4th May 12:51am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 3rd May 12pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 4th May 12:51am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 3rd May 12pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Adriano: 9%, Big Brown: 19%, Colonel John: 13%, Denis of Cork: 9%, Eight Belles: 6%, Gayego: 6%, Monba: 6%, Pyro: 11%, Z Fortune: 9%, Any other horse not listed.: 12%

Action history:

Created Sun 27th Apr 7:20am PDT by hubdubbob
Suspended Sat 3rd May 12pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 3rd May 5:21pm PDT by bitz: Big Brown!
Settlement requested Sat 3rd May 5:48pm PDT by ryanb37: settle it already
Settled as 'Big Brown' Sun 4th May 12:51am PDT by donal

Suspend date: Sat 3rd May 12pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 4th May 12:51am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 3rd May 12pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (193)

193 predictions

30 weeks ago
bigh165 predicted Any other horse not listed. (H$100 at 9%)
30 weeks ago
bigh165 predicted Adriano (H$50 at 2%)
30 weeks ago
ryanb37 predicted Big Brown (H$3,800 at 47%)
30 weeks ago
ryanb37 predicted Big Brown (H$3,831 at 47%)
30 weeks ago
vankev63 predicted Gayego (H$20 at 2%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 robmar
why did this have to suspend so early? :(

seems like this would draw the most attention in the last few hours leading up to the race...
posted 30 weeks ago
  2 kasulked
what a shame Eight Belles came in second, only to be put down after the race for breaking both front ankles. Happy for Big Brown, sad for Eight Belles
posted 30 weeks ago
  3 ryanb37
http://www.horsedeathwatch.com/
Poor animals killing themselves for the enjoyment of Rich people that like to wear Oversized Hats. there is a better way the horses need to be alowed to mature more 3 years is not enough come on
posted 30 weeks ago
  4 crudsy
that is true but its not going to change..its crazy asking them to go 1 and a quarter after in some cases very few races like big browns 3..he looks like a freak but could break down no doubt especially after mile and a half race...if owners are smart they will sell some off b4 then
posted 30 weeks ago

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