Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

How Many Magnitude 4 or Greater Earthquakes in the World on 14 April 2008?

Settled as 10-12

11 earthquakes counted, 0755 UTC, 16 April 2008.

Background:

How many earthquakes on the 14th equal to or greater than Magnitude 4?
Settlement will take place 48 hours after the suspend date has been reached in accordance with the rules.
For current activity-
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.php
Question suspends at midnight GMT(UTC) on the 13th.


Settlement details: As reported by the USGS.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

0-3
4%
4-6
26%
7-9
23%
10-12
10%
13 or more
38%
Activity: H$8,182
Settled as 10-12 on Tue 15th Apr 2008 11:55pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 2008 11:55pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0-3: 10%, 4-6: 20%, 7-9: 25%, 10-12: 25%, 13 or more: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Apr 2008 10:45am PDT by chull
Suspended Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as '10-12' Tue 15th Apr 2008 11:55pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: 11 earthquakes counted, 0755 UTC, 16 April 2008.

Suspend date: Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 2008 11:55pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (44)

44 predictions

38 weeks ago
konrad predicted 13 or more (H$100 at 51%)
38 weeks ago
theamazingjeffrow predicted 0-3 (H$50 at 4%)
38 weeks ago
metal_monger predicted 10-12 (H$100 at 12%)
38 weeks ago
metal_monger predicted 4-6 (H$100 at 16%)
38 weeks ago
metal_monger predicted 7-9 (H$100 at 14%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 shadowfax
ah, interesting to note that these can be settled once the count is 13!
posted 38 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more