Created Mon 21st Apr 2008 6:06pm PDT by

gradgrind Level 12, Guru (H$25,879)

How long will be it before another Cincinnati Bengal has a run-in with the law?

Settled as 1 day to 2 weeks

Though the Bengals are trying to clean up their act, they seem to find a way to get into trouble. Is it possible that they will go an entire season without having one of their players arrested for some reason?
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=3357445

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

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Settled

1 day to 2 weeks

10%

2 weeks to 1 month

10%

1 month to 3 months

13%

3 months to 5 months

17%

5 months to 7 months

24%

7 months to 9 months

16%

Never -- the Bengals will be de-thuggified this season

11%

Activity: H$1,818

Settled as 1 day to 2 weeks on Fri 2nd May 2008 3:23am PDT

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Fri 2nd May 2008 3:23am PDT

Initial likelihoods: 1 day to 2 weeks: 5%, 2 weeks to 1 month: 10%, 1 month to 3 months: 10%, 3 months to 5 months: 20%, 5 months to 7 months: 30%, 7 months to 9 months: 20%, Never -- the Bengals will be de-thuggified this season: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 21st Apr 2008 6:06pm PDT by

gradgrind Level 12, Guru (H$25,879)

Settlement requested Fri 2nd May 2008 2:53am PDT by

sdchargers [Power User]

: How long will be it before another Cincinnati Bengal has a run-in with the law? asked on April 21
A " run-in with the law" has occurred as reported on Thursday, May 1, 2008.
correct prediction therefore "1 day to 2 weeks"
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/AB/20080501/SPT02/305010073/

Settled as '1 day to 2 weeks' Fri 2nd May 2008 3:23am PDT by

donal

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Suspend date: None Settlement date: Fri 2nd May 2008 3:23am PDT
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Predictions (15)

15 predictions

36 weeks ago

neverlupus Level 2, Novice (H$1,045)

predicted Never -- the Bengals will be de-thuggified this season (H$100 at 11%)

37 weeks ago

kevwelch Level 5, Predictor (H$1,948)

predicted 1 month to 3 months (H$50 at 15%)

37 weeks ago

kevwelch Level 5, Predictor (H$1,948)

predicted 3 months to 5 months (H$50 at 16%)

37 weeks ago

epicur Level 16, Oracle (H$915,309)

predicted Never -- the Bengals will be de-thuggified this season (H$10 at 13%)

37 weeks ago

mork

predicted 1 month to 3 months (H$100 at 13%)

Comments (1)

epicur Level 16, Oracle (H$915,309)

The incident in the settlement request happened on April 9th, before this question was written (read the article, not just the date it was updated). This should not have settled on this incident.

posted 35 weeks ago