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How long will it take India and the Middle East to fully recover from their Internet outages?

Settled as After February 7

70% of Egypt and 60% of India are without Internet access following what is believed to be a severed undersea cable. When will these regions be up and running again?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.


SETTLEMENT NOTES:
Predictions made after Feb 7th have been voided

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

On or before February 3
0%
On or before February 7
12%
After February 7
88%
Activity: H$80,047
Settled as After February 7 on Fri 8th Feb 9:23am PST

Suspend date: Fri 8th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Fri 8th Feb 9:23am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 7th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: On or before February 3: 40%, On or before February 7: 40%, After February 7: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 31st Jan 9:52am PST by vengeur
Settled Fri 8th Feb 9:23am PST

Suspend date: Fri 8th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Fri 8th Feb 9:23am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 7th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (352)

352 predictions

42 weeks ago
foosboy predicted After February 7 (H$100 at 97%)
42 weeks ago
naddel85 predicted After February 7 (H$50 at 95%)
42 weeks ago
italiadeicalori predicted After February 7 (H$100 at 95%)
42 weeks ago
deathreapdude predicted After February 7 (H$100 at 98%)
42 weeks ago
chukhatrok predicted After February 7 (H$100 at 98%)
more

Comments (10)

  1 dollars
you should weigh in on the question @ getsatisfaction by clicking help then the getsatisfaction link the question there is:

"Should Hubdub insiders who settle questions be allowed to make predictions?

To date, Hubdub staff who settle questions have also participated in making predictions on those and other questions. We have strived to be as objective as possible on every settlement and settlements are regularly cross-checked. However some users perceive that this conflict of interest may cause us to incorrectly settle questions for our benefit. We can change the rules to:
(1) No restriction (status quo)
(2) No predicting on questions within their category
(3) No predicting on any questions

Thoughts?
posted 43 weeks ago
What really defines a full recovery? Simply internet connectivity getting better or 0 packet loss? If 0 packet loss, then have they ever really been normal - http://www.internettrafficreport.com?

H
posted 43 weeks ago
This news story claims that India is already at 80%.

http://urltea.com/2mrw

Thanks,

H
posted 43 weeks ago
And some other articles:

http://urltea.com/2mrx
http://urltea.com/2mry
http://urltea.com/2mrz

posted 43 weeks ago
  5 dragon01
I have interpreted "fully recover from internet outages" as a complete repair to the original cable system, not a bypass just to get the flow running again.
posted 43 weeks ago
  6 vengeur
I should have phrased it: "when will repairs on all severed undersea cables be completed," but no matter: at this rate, it looks doubtful that they will make the original February 7th estimate. Stand by for round two.
posted 43 weeks ago
  7 yossarian
10 more days according to this

http://www.gulfnews.com/news/gulf/qatar/10187198.html
posted 42 weeks ago
  9 zaphod
Itīs 18.00 in India now, 6 hours to go....
posted 42 weeks ago
  10 kruijs[Power User]
Some say it had something to do with undersea cables... but I'm pretty sure they just clicked "Yes".

http://img.thedailywtf.com/images/200807/errord/disconnect.gif

(http://thedailywtf.com/Articles/A-Y2K-Holdover.aspx)
posted 21 weeks ago

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