Created Mon 24th Mar 2008 10:42am PDT by 
rohan
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » rohan How many 1+ earthquakes will take place in the USA on Friday 28th March 2008? [revised]
Voided
Two possibilities to choose 95. Recreate with no unclear mutually exclusive options
Background:
The other question should be voided for wrong odds. Bet on this instead.
Settlement details:
As reported by http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Quakes/quakes_all.php
Voided
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Less than 50 |
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50-75 |
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76-85 |
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86-95 |
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95-99 or 101-105 |
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100(Bet on this if you are feeling lucky!!) |
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106-111 |
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112-117 |
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118-124 |
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125 or more |
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Voided Tue 25th Mar 2008 9:09am PDT
Suspend date: Fri 28th Mar 2008 12:59am PDT
Initial likelihoods: Less than 50: 5%, 50-75: 10%, 76-85: 10%, 86-95: 15%, 95-99 or 101-105: 20%, 100(Bet on this if you are feeling lucky!!): 1%, 106-111: 14%, 112-117: 10%, 118-124: 10%, 125 or more: 5%
Action history:
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Two possibilities to choose 95. Recreate with no unclear mutually exclusive options
Suspend date: Fri 28th Mar 2008 12:59am PDT
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (19)
19 predictions
jenniandboys
pup124
predicted 118-124 (H$50 at 8%)
hubdubbob
predicted 95-99 or 101-105 (H$10 at 16%)Comments (12)
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score: 10
Melbourne Herald Sun 41 weeks ago
A MODERATE earthquake with a magnitude of 5.3 has shaken eastern Japan.. There were no immediate reports of damage. The earthquake was 40 km deep ...
score: 10
AdelaideNow 41 weeks ago
A MODERATE earthquake with a magnitude of 5.3 has shaken eastern Japan.. There were no immediate reports of damage. The earthquake was 40 km deep ...
score: 10
People's Daily 42 weeks ago
An earthquake centered 70 km north of Picton shook central parts of New Zealand late Sunday, causing no damage or casualties, GNS Science said....
score: 10
New Zealand Herald 42 weeks ago
Parts of Fiordland were shaken by an earthquake early this morning, GNS Science reported today.. . The quake, which struck just after 5am, was ...
score: 10
New Scientist 43 weeks ago
Can you put a freeze on earthquakes? It seems so, according to a computer model showing that earthquakes happen less often in areas covered by ice ...
Related tags
New in Science » Natural Disasters
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/How_many_INITIAL_tsunami_Warnings_Advisories_or_Bulletins_will_The_National_Weather_Services_Pacific_Tsunami_Warning_Center_issue_before_April_1_2008_3636/view
the 0-3 is done now
check the settlement link
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/ptwc/
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/World_Wide_how_many_40_or_greater_earthquakes_will_there_be_on_Mar_22_2008_4561
good catch rohan. knowing my luck it will land on 95.
will both of those predictions win because of that pesky 95?
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