meanderingsearcher
How many 2.0 (or greater) earthquakes will there be in Alaska on Tuesday, March 11, 2008 ?
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Maps/special/Alaska_eqs.php
Source checked at 9.09am UTC, 12 March - 29 Earthquakes
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news sourceor
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Quakes/quakes_all.php
Settlement to include territorial Waters
Settled
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0 - 15 |
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16-30 |
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31 - 45 |
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46 or more |
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Suspend date: Mon 10th Mar 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 12th Mar 2008 2:09am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 10th Mar 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0 - 15: 5%, 16-30: 10%, 31 - 45: 40%, 46 or more: 45%
Action history:
meanderingsearcher 
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: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Maps/special/Alaska_eqs.php
Source checked at 9.09am UTC, 12 March - 29 Earthquakes
Suspend date: Mon 10th Mar 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 12th Mar 2008 2:09am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 10th Mar 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (45)
45 predictions
shadowfax
keithschom
predicted 0 - 15 (H$100 at 56%)
predicted 0 - 15 (H$50 at 54%)
predicted 0 - 15 (H$100 at 46%)
chullComments (3)
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meanderingsearcher
144 settled, 40 voided
This market is GREAT!
Much Gratitude to you meanderingsearcher.
Very Educational clever creation.
Its exciting to come home from work today, sit down and count through that M1.0+ link.
As the numbers Rose, the intensity amplified.
Which brings to mind an interesting topic of discussion for us hubdubbers.
Is it morally ethically sound for markets of this type where one wagers on outcomes of greater death, destruction, carnage, disarry, and General Chaos?(tip o' the hat to "Butters" Leopold Stotch)
Does my wagering here influence or impact? Is it kosher for me to hope that 16 not 15 M2.0 Quakes
happen today in Alaska?
When my eyes fell on a RED number in the left column, I would eagerly hope to see letters AK
to the right.
Is there a special place in purgatory for folks like me?
Markets of this nature are being scrutinized, analyzed, detected, dissected and brought into question.
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