Created Thu 3rd Apr 2008 5:26am PDT by 
hoernla
All questions » World » Europe » hoernla 
How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?
Current forecast: No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less! (38% chance
2%)
2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less! with a probability of 38% (down 2% in last 1 day)
The current financial crisis and/or recent mismanagement brought some Landesbanken (state banks owned by the Bundesländer) considerable losses, e.g. the WestLB or the BayernLB.
By April 2008, there are 8 Landesbanken, the 9th (SachsenLB) just having been swallowed by the LBBW.
How many will there still be at the beginning of 2010?
(The Bundesbank doesn't count).
By April 2008, there are 8 Landesbanken, the 9th (SachsenLB) just having been swallowed by the LBBW.
How many will there still be at the beginning of 2010?
(The Bundesbank doesn't count).
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
I suggest you rely on
www.spiegel.de
or also
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landesbank
Make your prediction!
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Landesbanken will split up...there will be more than 8! |
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No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! |
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One will buy it....7! |
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And another one bites the dust....6! |
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No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less! |
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Activity: H$10,001
Question suspends in 51 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3pm PST (51 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Landesbanken will split up...there will be more than 8!: 1%, No changes....Germans are too conservative....8!: 39%, One will buy it....7!: 30%, And another one bites the dust....6!: 20%, No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less!: 10%
Action history:
Created Thu 3rd Apr 2008 5:26am PDT by hoernla
hoernla
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3pm PST (51 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (50)
50 predictions
predicted No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! (H$100 at 23%)
nikolausi
predicted One will buy it....7! (H$30 at 23%)
lcsnor
predicted One will buy it....7! (H$75 at 22%)
php_ini
predicted One will buy it....7! (H$40 at 43%)
predicted And another one bites the dust....6! (H$50 at 15%)Comments (3)
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score: 10
CNBC 7 hours ago
LONDON, Jan 7 (Reuters) - Germany's Commerzbank AG is poised to issue a government-backed euro-denominated bond, IFR Markets reported on Wednesday, in what would be the first debt from a German lender to carry such
score: 10
TMC Net 8 hours ago
(Reuters via COMTEX) -- Germany's Commerzbank AG plans to issue its first government-backed euro-denominated bond, IFR reported on Wednesday. The bank has mandated Baylaba, BNP Paribas, DKIB, DZ Bank, HSH Nordbank, LBBW, UniCredit (HVB
score: 10
Businessweek 1 week ago
no one, and yet, for some time now, she has been one of the most powerful women in Germany. To reach Ms. Hillenherms, one has to pass through a thick, heavy steel door. The painters have left their paint buckets standing in the stairwell of the historic
score: 10
Spiegel Online 2 weeks ago
years, at which point they are transferred back. This restrictive provision led to the failure of talks between Postbank and Soffin. Postbank wanted to get rid of high-risk securities worth 5 billion ($7 billion). If the bank had agreed with Soffin,
score: 10
Spiegel Online 2 weeks ago
years, at which point they are transferred back. This restrictive provision led to the failure of talks between Postbank and Soffin. Postbank wanted to get rid of high-risk securities worth 5 billion ($7 billion). If the bank had agreed with Soffin,
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