Created Thu 3rd Apr 5:26am PDT by 
hoernla
All questions » World » Europe » hoernla 
How many German Landesbanken will survive the year 2009?
Current forecast: No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less! (41% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less! with a probability of 41% (down 1% in last 1 day)
The current financial crisis and/or recent mismanagement brought some Landesbanken (state banks owned by the Bundesländer) considerable losses, e.g. the WestLB or the BayernLB.
By April 2008, there are 8 Landesbanken, the 9th (SachsenLB) just having been swallowed by the LBBW.
How many will there still be at the beginning of 2010?
(The Bundesbank doesn't count).
By April 2008, there are 8 Landesbanken, the 9th (SachsenLB) just having been swallowed by the LBBW.
How many will there still be at the beginning of 2010?
(The Bundesbank doesn't count).
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
I suggest you rely on
www.spiegel.de
or also
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landesbank
Make your prediction!
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Landesbanken will split up...there will be more than 8! |
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No changes....Germans are too conservative....8! |
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One will buy it....7! |
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And another one bites the dust....6! |
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No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less! |
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Activity: H$9,338
Question suspends in 1 year
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 3pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Landesbanken will split up...there will be more than 8!: 1%, No changes....Germans are too conservative....8!: 39%, One will buy it....7!: 30%, And another one bites the dust....6!: 20%, No, there will be chaos and disorder....5 or less!: 10%
Action history:
Created Thu 3rd Apr 5:26am PDT by hoernla
hoernla
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 3pm PST (1 year to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (47)
47 predictions
nikolausi
lcsnor
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score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 5 days ago
FRANKFURT -- Germany's public-sector banks are increasingly seeking alternatives to the federal government's bailout as they strive to shore up balance sheets that have proven particularly vulnerable to the financial crisis
score: 10
Forbes.com 6 days ago
* German state premier Oettinger says decision on merging LBBW and BayernLB to come within days * Bavarian state premier Seehofer says priority remains to privatise BayernLB ((Frankfurt Newsroom; +49 69 7565 1272)) (For more news, please click here)
score: 10
Deutsche Welle 1 week ago
Hamburg-based HSH Nordbank said it would receive up to 30 billion euros ($37 billion) in guarantees to rescue it from the ongoing global financial crisis from Soffin, a federal government agency which
score: 10
Forbes.com 1 week ago
themselves united in the near future. It's been a long time coming, but ailing state-owned German lender LBBW said it was ready for 'concrete merger talks' with its rival BayernLB--one year after the subprime crisis began to ravage Germany's banking
score: 10
Reuters UK 1 week ago
FRANKFURT, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg [LBBW.UL], one of Germany's biggest state-backed lenders, said on Friday that it would consider merging with a state rival other than BayernLB [BAYLB.UL}. LBBW is prepared to discuss a merger
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