Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
My Predictions

How many Hubdubbers will have weekly percentage gains of 100% or more for the week ending April 20, 2008?

Settled as One or two users have gains of 100% or more

Since starting the Weekly Leader Boards both weeks have ended with 3 players with over 100% gains for the week. What will be the number of users with gains of 100% or more at the end of the week ending next Sunday, April 20?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

No one has gains of 100% or more
15%
One or two users have gains of 100% or more
35%
Three or four users have gains of 100% or more
20%
Five or six users have gains of 100% or more
27%
Seven or more users have gains of 100% or more
3%
Activity: H$12,487
Settled as One or two users have gains of 100% or more on Mon 21st Apr 2:07pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source and/or Hubdub administrators.

Suspend date: Sun 20th Apr 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 21st Apr 2:07pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 21st Apr 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: No one has gains of 100% or more: 15%, One or two users have gains of 100% or more: 20%, Three or four users have gains of 100% or more: 30%, Five or six users have gains of 100% or more: 20%, Seven or more users have gains of 100% or more: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 13th Apr 6:16am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Edited Sun 13th Apr 9:34am PDT by tomg[Admin]
Suspended Sun 20th Apr 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 21st Apr 10:43am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Last leaderboard update at 11:07 says two, but hopefully you have an 11:59 snapshot to look at?
Settled as 'One or two users have gains of 100% or more' Mon 21st Apr 2:07pm PDT by tomg[Admin]: Two users (mrbluejello, shotz00). http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?cat=all&page=1&sort=weekly&who=all&when=w16
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source and/or Hubdub administrators.... read all

 

Predictions (59)

59 predictions

18 weeks ago
epicur predicted Three or four users have gains of 100% or more (H$20 at 20%)
18 weeks ago
epicur predicted Seven or more users have gains of 100% or more (H$50 at 2%)
18 weeks ago
steph predicted No one has gains of 100% or more (H$1,000 at 45%)
18 weeks ago
epicur predicted No one has gains of 100% or more (H$300 at 15%)
18 weeks ago
harveyb predicted No one has gains of 100% or more (H$8 at 10%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 cognos[Power User]
I like this question.
However,
Question and description do not match. Needs mod to April 20? from April 13?

posted 19 weeks ago
  2 rohan
yo yo yo..go go go...lo lo lo...po po po... zo zo zo
posted 18 weeks ago
  3 chatarra
This will be an easy one to settle.
One or two users have gains of 100% or more: YES
posted 18 weeks ago
  4 harveyb
I'm a little confused. The weekly site says "Last update was at 11:07pm PST" but the question closed at 11:59. Is there going to be data based on Midnight used to settle, or will the 11:07PM data be used?
posted 18 weeks ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more