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Created Tue 4th Mar 2008 10:22am PST by meanderingsearcher
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » 

How many INITIAL tsunami Warnings, Advisories, or Bulletins will The National Weather Service's Pacific Tsunami Warning Center issue before April 1, 2008

Settled as 4-5

According to the settlement source as of the end date 4 occured


Settlement details: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/ptwc/
settlement not to include follow-up advisories
(one earthquake,landslide, volcanic eruption, something from space event,man-made explosion, or any act of god equals one warning or advisory)

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 0-3
12%
4-5
82%
6 or more
6%
Activity: H$22,734
Settled as 4-5 on Tue 1st Apr 2008 2:53pm PDT

Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 2:53pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0-3: 30%, 4-5: 50%, 6 or more: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Mar 2008 10:22am PST by meanderingsearcher
Edited Tue 4th Mar 2008 12:03pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Wed 5th Mar 2008 12:25am PST by tisha[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:27pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as '4-5' Tue 1st Apr 2008 2:53pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: According to the settlement source as of the end date 4 occured

Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 2:53pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (73)

73 predictions

40 weeks ago
hilly predicted 4-5 (H$150 at 68%)
40 weeks ago
meanderingsearcher predicted 4-5 (H$1,000 at 61%)
40 weeks ago
kida predicted 4-5 (H$100 at 66%)
40 weeks ago
themurphster predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 34%)

Comments (4)

  1 lesley[Admin]
Should this say "INITIAL" rather than "INTIAL"??
posted 44 weeks ago
  2 meanderingsearcher
initial
posted 44 weeks ago
  3 meanderingsearcher
could you please change initial and add the flagged "bulletin" insert into the settlement as well
posted 44 weeks ago
  4 meanderingsearcher
this should be interesting
Today 7:33am PST
1,000 at 54,945.05% 2
4 days to go
1 at 42.91%
posted 40 weeks ago

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