lucidstates 
How many consecutive weekends will " Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull " be #1 at the North American Box Office?
1#http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24919591/
Background:
Settled
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Will Not Open #1... |
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Only the 1st Weekend of Release at #1 |
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1st and 2nd Weekend of Release at #1 |
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1st, 2nd, and 3rd Weekend of Release at #1 |
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1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th Weekend of Release at #1 |
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1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th or More Weekends of Release at #1 |
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Settlement details:
As reported by www.the-numbers.com or any other major news source.
If this movie drops out of the #1 spot over any weekend between May 22nd and the settlement date, then this question will be settled as such. Example, if it goes 2 weeks at #1, then upon box office results in its third weekend showing it no longer at #1, the bet "1 - 2 weekends at #1" Will Win and this question will end. If it goes 5 weekends at #1, then the "1 - 5 or more weekends at #1" Will Win, so it doesn't need to go six straight to win that last option. If it doesn't even open #1, then the Will not open #1, WILL WIN.
Does this make sense to everybody?
Suspend date: Fri 6th Jun 8pm PDT
Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 3:53pm PDT
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Jun 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Will Not Open #1...: 1%, Only the 1st Weekend of Release at #1: 38%, 1st and 2nd Weekend of Release at #1: 38%, 1st, 2nd, and 3rd Weekend of Release at #1: 20%, 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th Weekend of Release at #1: 2%, 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th or More Weekends of Release at #1: 1%
Action history:
lucidstates 
robmar: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24919591/ 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: 1#http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24919591/
Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or any other major news source. ... read all
Predictions (217)
217 predictions
ptedwards17
kida
tgill77
valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Only the 1st Weekend of Release at #1 (H$3,000 at 92%)
triathematician
jenniandboysComments (24)
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lucidstates
66 settled, 3 voided
Also LOOK OUT for The Dark Knight! That one is gonna be the BIGGEST Batman ever and I think it'll be the #2 film of the Summer Season.
Thanks for the compliment on the question dude :-D
P.S. Cowboys picked up Adam "PACMAN" Jones and he may start Sept. 7th :-D ... Jerry Jones loves controversy man!!!
First scare- in my opinion, will be "Kung Fu Panda" opening June 6th. I believe Indiana Jones will squeek only to be topped by "The Incredible Hulk" in following week. All this is personal opinion, no facts or anything to back it up.
Personally, and I may be sooooo ridiculously off, but I feel that Sex and the City will open in the mid $20's millions, so like around $25 mil, and I think Indy will open with closer to $101 - $108 mil, so in Indy's second weekend, which will be against Sex and the City, I feel Indy could easily top $50 - $60 mil.
Just my opinion and I have been way off before, hahaha, but if I am right, don't say I didn't warn ya :-P
lucidstates
Anyway, Luci (take that you nicknamer) designed this one to be somewhat in running (the Horton one was as well) and its his perogative to design the market within reasonable limits. I think it should stand.
although, maybe suspend _after_ the first weekend?
I think Destry had the BEST idea, that say each Friday, the current portion of the question would suspend, this would tie people INTO a bet and so they either win or lose accordingly, and if they lost, they'd then have to use OTHER funds to bet on the next option, and so on and so forth, however, as HubDub has not set up such an awesome wagering system, I prefer to let it run :-D
Thanks guys, and CONGRATS on your S titles ;-)
lucidstates
Lets see if these numbers continue over the next two days.
http://www.the-numbers.com/
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***Takes a couple shots of Bombay***
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Whew! That's what I needed!! :-P
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