Created Wed 6th Feb 2008 12:01pm PST by monkiss

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How many customers will ebay lose because of its new fees and policies by the end of March 2008?

Not possible to settle

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

How many customers will ebay lose because of its new fees and policies by the end of March 2008?

    0-5%

    6-10%

    11-20%

    21-30%

    31-40%

    41-50%

    51% or more

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Forecast history, %

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Voided

	0-5%	30%
	6-10%	20%
	11-20%	10%
	21-30%	10%
	31-40%	10%
	41-50%	10%
	51% or more	10%

Voided Mon 24th Mar 2008 10:15am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: 0-5%: 30%, 6-10%: 20%, 11-20%: 10%, 21-30%: 10%, 31-40%: 10%, 41-50%: 10%, 51% or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 6th Feb 2008 12:01pm PST by monkiss

Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:28pm PST by andrew

Voided Mon 24th Mar 2008 10:15am PDT by andrew: Not possible to settle

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Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT
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Predictions (14)

14 predictions

42 weeks ago

jarrod predicted 0-5% (H$100 at 25%)

43 weeks ago

levijonny predicted 11-20% (H$50 at 34%)

44 weeks ago

epicur predicted 0-5% (H$20 at 24%)

44 weeks ago

advp08 predicted 0-5% (H$20 at 24%)

47 weeks ago

triphoenix predicted 0-5% (H$50 at 33%)

more

42 weeks ago

jarrod predicted 0-5% (H$100 at 25%)

43 weeks ago

levijonny predicted 11-20% (H$50 at 34%)

44 weeks ago

epicur predicted 0-5% (H$20 at 24%)

44 weeks ago

advp08 predicted 0-5% (H$20 at 24%)

47 weeks ago

triphoenix predicted 0-5% (H$50 at 33%)

47 weeks ago

jarrod predicted 0-5% (H$100 at 31%)

48 weeks ago

monkiss predicted 6-10% (H$20 at 21%)

48 weeks ago

turbophon predicted 6-10% (H$20 at 20%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (2)

  1 camicalm

How exactly will you measure the number of customers leaving eBay? People can just stop using their accounts without actually quitting.

posted 47 weeks ago

  2 andrew

I have to agree with the flag and comment. I don't believe this can accurately settled, therefore I will void the question.

Andrew
Hubdub Category Manager

posted 41 weeks ago

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