
How many earthquakes 5.0 and above will occur from Friday 21st March to Thursday 27th March (Worldwide)?
This will suspend a day before the settlement date for more excitement
Settlement details:
As reported by http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
Settled
| 0-5 |
| |||
| 6-10 |
| |||
| 11-15 |
| |||
| 16-20 |
| |||
| 21-25 |
| |||
| More than 25 |
|
Suspend date: Wed 26th Mar 2008 5am PDT Settlement date: Thu 27th Mar 2008 6:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 26th Mar 2008 5am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0-5: 10%, 6-10: 20%, 11-15: 25%, 16-20: 20%, 21-25: 15%, More than 25: 10%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 26th Mar 2008 5am PDT Settlement date: Thu 27th Mar 2008 6:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 26th Mar 2008 5am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (130)
130 predictions
Comments (18)
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thanks for creating it.
exciting to me counting these quakes. would love to see more of these of all stripes and parameters.
the quake questions are settled by the count on this site:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
which I believe is Coordinated Universal Time (UTC)
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/utc.html
I hope you like these questions, I think they are great!
some say it's like watching paint dry, but I get my jollys where I want.
after the Suspend date: Wednesday 4am PST
I'll be biting nails and checking in on the count.
could have used a better word to describe my interest and captivation. I have a few HD on this outcome being
16-20 so here's to hopin' few if any more will erupt above M5.
now next week, we'll see what the odds are at :-)
now, it has been advised that I look into my addiction here in hubdubland, thanks.
I conclude I gotta layoff for a few because I found a word missing on this page that we all frequent.
http://www.hubdub.com/e/MarketOption/1620_9611/Open
in the upper right box "how does this work?" can ya find what word is missing?
must've been in the grips, the wagering spell, dazed and somehow caught it. why I was reading the instructions probably indicates how bad my addiction is.
made me realize I need to walk away from the pipe- 'er, the screen...sigh...shiver...
so, for now I spare you my blithering babble and hope to return someday with more pithy posts.
yes, this has expanded my view as well.
this is not a pithy post, but won't shy from that spanking.
watch for more earthquake markets as i have the approval from the ingenious creators.
hope to establish reasonable researched odds.
"prediction and therefore much you.."
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