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How many hurricanes will occur this year in the Atlantic Basin region?
In all, there have been 16 named storms since the Atlantic hurricane season started on June 1. Eight were hurricanes, five of them major -- meaning Category 3 or higher. Three -- Dolly, Gustav, and Ike -- made landfall in the United States, though none was a major hurricane at the time of landfall.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/11/30/hurricane.season.ends/?iref=hpmostpop
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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5 or fewer hurricanes |
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6 hurricanes |
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7 hurricanes |
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8 hurricanes |
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9 hurricanes |
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10 hurricanes |
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11 or more hurricanes |
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Suspend date: last Sunday 7:59am PST Settlement date: last Sunday 1:45pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 5 or fewer hurricanes: 7%, 6 hurricanes: 9%, 7 hurricanes: 15%, 8 hurricanes: 40%, 9 hurricanes: 15%, 10 hurricanes: 9%, 11 or more hurricanes: 5%
Action history:
bayoubear 
tisha: was: "2008-09-30 07:59:00" tisha: Suspend date has been moved to end of November, in line with the hurricane season end date 
ladylara: from CNN:" In all, there have been 16 named storms since the Atlantic hurricane season started on June 1. Eight were hurricanes, five of them major -- meaning Category 3 or higher. Three -- Dolly, Gustav, and Ike -- made landfall in the United States, though none was a major hurricane at the time of landfall."http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/11/30/hurricane.season.ends/index.html tisha: In all, there have been 16 named storms since the Atlantic hurricane season started on June 1. Eight were hurricanes, five of them major -- meaning Category 3 or higher. Three -- Dolly, Gustav, and Ike -- made landfall in the United States, though none was a major hurricane at the time of landfall.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/11/30/hurricane.season.ends/?iref=hpmostpop
Suspend date: last Sunday 7:59am PST Settlement date: last Sunday 1:45pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Get widget!Predictions (204)
204 predictions
frogchop
dragon01
crowe
bigken1
pixelpaws
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted 8 hurricanes (H$100 at 20%)
rbrog77Comments (4)
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Can we make it a few weeks more with nothing really major developing.....
Hurricane season runs through November, but usually not much much develops after the first week or so of October....
With three hurricanes in the last month, the total now stands at five for the season (Ike being the most recent; Josephine has already dissipated). There's nothing too likely to develop within the next week, giving us a much-needed break, but there's also no telling how long that will remain the case.
Also, as a possible source for settlement, here's the NHC archive page for this season's storms: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2008atlan.shtml
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