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How many missles will it take to destroy the failed US spy satellite?

Settled as 1

http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSN1930844420080221?feedType=RSS&feedName=domesticNews

Missile hit at 10.26pm E


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

1
89%
2
6%
3+
5%
Activity: H$12,178
Settled as 1 on Thu 21st Feb 2008 1:29am PST

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Thu 21st Feb 2008 1:29am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 20th Feb 2008 7:15pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1: 50%, 2: 25%, 3+: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 19th Feb 2008 8:13pm PST by raptor
Settlement requested Wed 20th Feb 2008 8:24pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Answer is 1.
(Associated Press)
Navy missile hits spy satellite
<http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2008/0
Settled as '1' Thu 21st Feb 2008 1:29am PST by lesley[Admin]: http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSN1930844420080221?feedType=RSS&feedName=domesticNews

Missile hit at 10.26pm E

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Thu 21st Feb 2008 1:29am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 20th Feb 2008 7:15pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (74)

74 predictions

46 weeks ago
dirty predicted 2 (H$50 at 26%)
46 weeks ago
dirty predicted 2 (H$50 at 25%)
46 weeks ago
mandrake predicted 1 (H$100 at 69%)
46 weeks ago
kcwildguy predicted 2 (H$50 at 24%)
46 weeks ago
sakguyvue predicted 2 (H$50 at 26%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 ratel
what if it isn't destroyed by a missle because they miss and don't try again?
posted 46 weeks ago
logic would seem to dictate a void, no?
posted 46 weeks ago
Agreed - no mutually exclusive outcome.
posted 46 weeks ago
Answer is 1.
(Associated Press)
Navy missile hits spy satellite
<http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2008/02/20/weather_may_delay_satellite_shot/>
posted 46 weeks ago

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