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Created Fri 11th Apr 9:50am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » 

How many named tropical storms will occur this year in the Atlantic Basin region?

Settled as 16-17 named storms

16 named tropical storms in the atlantic this season.

Background:

Before there's a hurricane, there's usually a tropical storm...so how many of those will form this season? These are storms with wind from 39 to 74 mph.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Less than 10 named storms
0%
10-11 named storms
0%
12-13 named storms
0%
14-15 named storms
4%
16-17 named storms
95%
18-19 named storms
0%
20 or more named storms
0%
Activity: H$42,928
Settled as 16-17 named storms on Yesterday 11:20pm PST

Suspend date: last Sunday 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Yesterday 11:20pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 10 named storms: 6%, 10-11 named storms: 15%, 12-13 named storms: 21%, 14-15 named storms: 23%, 16-17 named storms: 17%, 18-19 named storms: 12%, 20 or more named storms: 6%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Apr 9:50am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Wed 1st Oct 3:33am PDT by tisha[Admin]: was: "2008-09-30 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Wed 1st Oct 3:33am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Suspend date has been moved forward in line with the end date of the hurricane season
Suspended last Sunday 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as '16-17 named storms' Yesterday 11:20pm PST by tisha[Admin]: 16 named tropical storms in the atlantic this season.

Suspend date: last Sunday 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Yesterday 11:20pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (164)

164 predictions

2 weeks ago
rogi predicted 16-17 named storms (H$100 at 91%)
3 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted 20 or more named storms (H$1 at 0%)
3 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted 18-19 named storms (H$100 at 5%)
3 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted 16-17 named storms (H$1,900 at 89%)
3 weeks ago
bruns_david predicted 16-17 named storms (H$500 at 88%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
With Fay wandering around, trying to figure out what to do, it might be time to look at this market again. So far we've had 6 named storms ( only two of them hurricanes) and we still have 6-8 weeks of prime hurricane watching left for this season....
posted 14 weeks ago

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