How many national coaches or trainers will quit (or announce to do so) during the European Soccer Championship 2008 (UEFA Euro 2008)?
This question aims at such a resigning (retirement or early release) (or announce of it) which is explicitly reasoned by an early drop out of the team.
Only those who occur during the tournament itself (the final round) in Austria and Switzerland (7th - 29th of June) are to be included. A maximum of 16 is possible, but some countries already announced a change of the coach after the championships (e.g. Switzerland).
England is already out, so I will lower the probability by one ;).
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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None |
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One |
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Two |
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Three |
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More than three |
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Suspend date: Sun 29th Jun 3:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 4th Jul 1:48am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 29th Jun 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: None: 10%, One: 50%, Two: 20%, Three: 10%, More than three: 10%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sun 29th Jun 3:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 4th Jul 1:48am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 29th Jun 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (54)
54 predictions
Comments (9)
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==========================RESIGNMENT KNOWN BEFORE=======================
Switzerland: Jakob Kuhn
"decided to step down after the finals"
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=128/profile=1/index.html
Czech Republic: Karel Brückner
"he will step down after this summer's finals."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=58837/profile=1/index.html
Portugal: Luiz Felipe Scolari
"agreed a new two-year deal shortly after (the 2006 FIFA World Cup)"
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=110/profile=1/index.html
Spain: Luis Aragonés
"he announced in November 2007 he would not renew it after UEFA EURO 2008"
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=122/profile=1/index.html
Netherlands: Marco van Basten
"after which he will step down to take charge at former club AFC Ajax."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=95/profile=1/index.html
==========================RESIGNMENT HIGHLY UNLIKELY======================
Germany: Joachim Löw
"Löw was promptly handed an extension to his original two-year contract,
which takes him through until 2010."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=47/profile=1/index.html
Poland: Leo Beenhakker
"Not surprisingly, his initial contract has already been extended to take
him through to the end of 2010 World Cup qualifying."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=109/profile=1/index.html
Italy: Roberto Donadoni
"Donadoni was rewarded with a new two-year contract on the eve of the final
tournament."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=66/profile=1/index.html
Greece: Otto Rehhagel
"The veteran trainer has since signed a new contract incorporating the 2010
FIFA World Cup after his side qualified for Austria and Switzerland with
more points than any other."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=49/profile=1/index.html
The twin retirements signaled probable squad changes ahead of Greece's
qualifying campaign for the 2010 World Cup in South Africa under coach Otto
Rehhagel, who recently extended his contract till 2010.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/SPORT/football/06/15/euro.greece.ap/
Sweden: Lars Lagerbäck
"Lagerbäck nevertheless said he would stay to lead the team to UEFA EURO
2008 and in January signed a new deal that will take him to the end of
Sweden's 2010 World Cup campaign."
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=127/profile=1/index.html
Russia: Guus Hiddink
"who signed a new two-and-a-half year deal in March"
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=57451/profile=1/index.html
=================================UNKNOWN================================
Turkey: Fatih Terim
Croatia: Slaven Bilic
Romania: Victor Piturca
============================DECISION PENDING==============================
France: Raymond Domenech; SETTLES 3rd July
"Domenech nonetheless earned a new contract until after UEFA EURO 2008".
http://en.euro2008.uefa.com/tournament/teams/team=43/profile=1/index.html
"Domenech's position as national coach is less secure."
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-spw-soccer18-2008jun18,0,5744070.story
"Although officially under contract until 2010, Domenech's position is
considered by many to be untenable, his departure regarded as a matter of
when rather than if. His fate will be announced on 3 July after he meets with
French Football Federation president Jean-Pierre Escalettes and technical
director Gerard Houllier."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/football/euro_2008/france/7460989.stm
===================================YES===================================
Austria: Josef Hickersberger
"Austria coach Josef Hickersberger quits because team failed to reach Euro
2008 quarterfinals"
"We played very well, even sensationally some of the time, but we didn't reach
the quarterfinals and didn't accomplish our common goal," Hickersberger said
Tuesday. "I'm sorry and I've drawn the consequences from it."
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/06/24/sports/EU-SPT-SOC-Euro-2008-Austria-Hickersberger.php
(I am speechless...)
============================DECISION PENDING==============================
Italy: Roberto Donadoni
"It has been reported that Donadoni, who is out of a job if reports from Tuesday are to be believed, told journalists that official clarification would soon be forthcoming."
http://www.goal.com/en/Articolo.aspx?ContenutoId=751456
===================================YES===================================
Italy: Roberto Donadoni
"Following a two hour meeting with the Italian FA on Thursday afternoon, Roberto Donadoni is no
longer the coach of the Italian national football team."
http://www.goal.com/en/Articolo.aspx?ContenutoId=752550
That makes 2 confirmed, 1 pending.
==========================RESIGNMENT HIGHLY UNLIKELY======================
Croatia: Slaven Bilic
"Croatia's Slaven Bilic will also stay on -- and so will Otto Rehhagel and Leo Beenhakker despite
first-round exits with title holders Greece and Poland, respectively."
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3439803,00.html
===================================YES===================================
Turkey: Fatih Terim
"Turkey coach Fatih Terim has revealed he will probably step down after seeing his side lose to
Germany in their Euro 2008 semi-final."
http://www.tribalfootball.com/article.php?id=99992
That makes 3 confirmed, 1 pending
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/keeping_account_updated
Turkey: Fatih Terim
"The Turkish Football Federation said Tuesday they have struck a deal with Fatih Terim to stay on as
coach of Euro 2008 semi-finalists Turkey until 2012."
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5ig0NKk1aAKGdeoB2Ae6YMyw8BXwg
That makes 2 confirmed, 1 pending
Apparently not
http://msn.foxsports.com/soccer/story/8300820/Now-that-Euro-2008-is-done,-the-World-Cup-takes-over
Unchanged: 2 confirmed, 1 pending
France: Raymond Domenech
"Raymond Domenech will stay on as France coach despite a humiliating first-round exit at last month's European Championship, the French federation said Thursday."
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/03/sports/socfrance3.php
Conclusive: 2 confirmed.
I'll flag for settlement.
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