How many of the following 12 Indices will close UP on Fri. Mar. 7?
All down
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=americas
Background:
Asia : Nikkei 225 (^N225), Hang Seng (^HSI), Straits Times (^STI) and BSE Sensex (^BSESN)
Europe: DAX (^GDAXI), CAC 40 (^FCHI), MIBTel (^MIBTEL) and FTSE 100 (^FTSE)
Americas: Dow Jones Industrial (^DJI), TSX (^GSPTSE), MerVal (^MERV), and NASDAQ (^IXIC)
The codes can be found/used at finance.yahoo.com
Initial odds set by approximating a gentle bell curve over the equal distribution for the 13 possible outcomes.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Preferred source: finance.yahoo.com
Not settled until after all markets final reportings - ie 2:20 pm PST
If any index is not active because of holiday etc, then it does not count toward UP tally.
Settled
| 0 - 2 |
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| 3 - 5 |
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| 6 |
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| 7 - 9 |
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| 10 - 12 |
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Suspend date: Fri 7th Mar 2008 8am PST Settlement date: Fri 7th Mar 2008 1:58pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 7th Mar 2008 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 20%, 3 - 5: 23%, 6: 14%, 7 - 9: 23%, 10 - 12: 20%
Action history:
pics4d
: all of them were down 
andrew
: All down
http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=americas
Suspend date: Fri 7th Mar 2008 8am PST Settlement date: Fri 7th Mar 2008 1:58pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 7th Mar 2008 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (47)
47 predictions
epicur
predicted 3 - 5 (H$50 at 39%)
predicted 0 - 2 (H$100 at 47%)
predicted 3 - 5 (H$20 at 36%)Comments (1)
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59 settled, 5 voided
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