How many of the following 12 Indices will close UP on Wed. Mar. 5?
Asia : Nikkei 225 (^N225), Hang Seng (^HSI), Straits Times (^STI) and BSE Sensex (^BSESN)
Europe: DAX (^GDAXI), CAC 40 (^FCHI), MIBTel (^MIBTEL) and FTSE 100 (^FTSE)
Americas: Dow Jones Industrial (^DJI), TSX (^GSPTSE), MerVal (^MERV), and NASDAQ (^IXIC)
The codes can be found/used at finance.yahoo.com
Initial odds set by approximating a gentle bell curve over the equal distribution for the 13 possible outcomes.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Preferred source: finance.yahoo.com
Not settled until after all markets final reportings - ie 2:20 pm PST
If any index is not active because of holiday etc, then it does not count toward UP tally.
| 0 - 2 |
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| 3 - 5 |
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| 6 |
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| 7 - 9 |
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| 10 - 12 |
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- Activity: H$10,075 |
- Predictions: 38 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Wed 5th Mar 2008 8am PST
Settlement date: Wed 5th Mar 2008 2:01pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 5th Mar 2008 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 20%, 3 - 5: 23%, 6: 14%, 7 - 9: 23%, 10 - 12: 20%
Action history:
andrew
: Asia down (except BSE)
http://finance.yahoo.com/
infernalmachine![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: 3 asian markets down (all but the BSE), all other markets up, so 9 up, ie "7-9" is correct answer 
Suspend date: Wed 5th Mar 2008 8am PST
Settlement date: Wed 5th Mar 2008 2:01pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 5th Mar 2008 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (38)
mattsnever
predicted 6 (H$50 at 15%)
myunion
predicted 7 - 9 (H$20 at 58%)
carla
predicted 10 - 12 (H$50 at 1%)Comments (0)
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