How many of the remaining Democratic primaries will be won by Hillary Clinton (by popular vote)?
Settled as 6 states
http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/
Background:
The remaining contests under consideration in this question are Pennsylvania (4/22), Indiana (5/6), North Carolina (5/6), West Virginia (5/13), Oregon (5/20), Kentucky (5/20), South Dakota (6/3), Montana (6/3), and Puerto Rico (6/7).
Guam (5/3) and Florida/Michigan re-votes (if held) will NOT be included in the total.
Settlement details:
Win is determined by popular vote, as reported by a major mainstream news source.
How many of the remaining Democratic primaries will be won by Hillary Clinton (by popular vote)?
0 states
1 state
2 states
3 states
4 states
5 states
6 states
7 states
8 states
9 states
Forecast history, %
Settled
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0 states |
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1 state |
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2 states |
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3 states |
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4 states |
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5 states |
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6 states |
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7 states |
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8 states |
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9 states |
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Activity: H$46,137
Settled as
6 states on Wed 4th Jun 8:28am PDT
Suspend date: Tue 3rd Jun 3:30pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 4th Jun 8:28am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 3rd Jun 3:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
0 states: 1%, 1 state: 3%, 2 states: 10%, 3 states: 20%, 4 states: 30%, 5 states: 20%, 6 states: 10%, 7 states: 4%, 8 states: 1%, 9 states: 1%
Action history:
Suspended Tue 3rd Jun 1:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Tue 3rd Jun 9:28am PDT by
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
Clarified Tue 3rd Jun 9:30am PDT by
ryanj:
As this is the last primary day I'm allowing the markets to stay open longer today
Suspended Tue 3rd Jun 3:30pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 3rd Jun 7:48pm PDT by
triathematician:
With Obama winning Montana & Clinton South Dakota, should settle as six.
Suspend date: Tue 3rd Jun 3:30pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 4th Jun 8:28am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 3rd Jun 3:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (293)
293 predictions
26 weeks ago
quorny predicted
5 states (H$300 at 47%)
26 weeks ago
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
predicted
6 states (H$100 at 44%)
26 weeks ago
kruijs predicted
5 states (H$100 at 43%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$132 at 44%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$159 at 38%)
26 weeks ago
quorny predicted
5 states (H$300 at 47%)
26 weeks ago
kruijs predicted
6 states (H$100 at 44%)
26 weeks ago
kruijs predicted
5 states (H$100 at 43%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$132 at 44%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$159 at 38%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
7 states (H$31 at 13%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$81 at 34%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$20 at 32%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
5 states (H$168 at 50%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$100 at 33%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
7 states (H$100 at 13%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$61 at 32%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
7 states (H$100 at 10%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
7 states (H$103 at 6%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
5 states (H$46 at 57%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$150 at 33%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
6 states (H$47 at 28%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
7 states (H$100 at 10%)
26 weeks ago
kida predicted
7 states (H$100 at 6%)
Showing recent public predictions only
lessComments (6)
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Puerto Rico = 55 delegates
besides, why let them help choose a candidate they wont be able to actually vote for later?
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