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How many of these book will be on the TOP 5 of the New York Times Hardcover Fiction list d?

Settled as Three

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/13/books/bestseller/0413besthardfiction.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

Background:

For the date "Published: April 13, 2008"

CHANGE OF HEART, by Jodi Picoult
THE APPEAL, by John Grisham
REMEMBER ME?, by Sophie Kinsella
DEAD HEAT, by Joel C. Rosenberg
7TH HEAVEN, by James Patterson and Maxine Paetro


Settlement details: As reported on the NYT website.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Zero
10%
One
20%
Two
20%
Three
20%
Four
20%
Five
10%
Activity: H$6,476
Settled as Three on Mon 7th Apr 7:30am PDT

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Mon 7th Apr 7:30am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Apr 2007 3am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zero: 10%, One: 20%, Two: 20%, Three: 20%, Four: 20%, Five: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 31st Mar 11:50pm PDT by rohan
Settlement requested Sat 5th Apr 10:09am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]:
Winning prediction = 3

CHANGE OF HEART
THE APPEAL
REMEMBER ME?

<http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/13/books/bestseller/0413besthardfiction.html?8bu&emc=bu>
Settlement requested Sun 6th Apr 12:54pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]: found
"Hardcover Fiction
Published: April 13, 2008"
on NYT site.
3 is correct prediction
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/13/books/bestseller/0413besthardfiction.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Mon 7th Apr 7:30am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Apr 2007 3am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (38)

38 predictions

34 weeks ago
peterww predicted Five (H$200 at 11%)
34 weeks ago
peterww predicted Four (H$200 at 15%)
34 weeks ago
peterww predicted Five (H$20 at 6%)
34 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted Four (H$50 at 11%)

Comments (8)

Please join the HubDubbers Strike! We are protesting the cheater known as "Satyaki" and hubdubs refusal to penalize him for artificially getting himself on the top ladder of the leader boards BY CHEATING!

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lucidstates (This user: Is On Strike)
posted 34 weeks ago
  2 peterww
For the list published April 6, that list of five mirrors precisely the top five. The Appeal has been on the list for eight weeks, 7th Heaven for seven, Remember Me? for four, Change of Heart for three and Dead Heat only for one. (Dead Heat debuted in the fourth spot.)
posted 34 weeks ago
  3 peterww
Never mind. I just noticed the difference between the Web site and what is in today's paper. And I think I messed up my betting as a result. That's the price for still living in Guttenberg's world.
posted 34 weeks ago
i found site which shows NYT bestsellers for April 13 and shows 3 of the 5
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/13/books/bestseller/0413besthardfiction.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
posted 34 weeks ago
  5 diana
Hi everyone, this market was settled earlier today, but for some reason, something happened as the settlement year registered as 2007, causing all predictions to be voided. We are investigating this and hopefully all settlements will be safeguarded in the future. Again, I'm really sorry for those of you who participated in this market. Best, Diana
posted 34 weeks ago
For clarity, are you saying that all predictions are lost?

Or, as the market itself was voided, can the market not be resettled?

posted 34 weeks ago
  7 chris[Admin]
I've fixed this so that winnings and losses are registered correctly in the leaderboards. I've also credited the winners with their winnings. The money that shouldn't have gone back to losers will stay with them.
posted 34 weeks ago
@ chris

Can you assist me in understanding this ...

Diana commented earlier that this settlement "... caus[ed] all predictions to be voided."

If all predictions were voided, how is it that your fix resulted in "money that shouldn't have gone back to losers will stay with them."? It would seem that the initial settlement resulted in no one receiving H$.
posted 34 weeks ago

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