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How many of these users will be on the top 5 of the leaderboard on March 10, 22.00 PST?

Settled as Five

The users are:
crudsy
pics4d
rohan
infernalmachine
jerjustrolling


Settlement details: As reported on the Hubdub leaderboard

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

One
0%
Two
0%
Three
1%
Four
32%
Five
66%
Activity: H$32,428
Settled as Five on Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:53am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 10th Mar 2008 4pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:53am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 10th Mar 2008 4pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: One: 5%, Two: 10%, Three: 15%, Four: 30%, Five: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 5th Mar 2008 1:27am PST by rohan
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:37pm PST by tomg[Admin]
Suspended Mon 10th Mar 2008 4pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 10th Mar 2008 11:01pm PDT by rohan: Overall Leaderboard
Rank User Quarterly gain (Overall)
1 No user imagecrudsy hd$523,139
2 rohan (you) hd$299,469
3 jersjusttrolling hd$293,504
4 infernalmachine hd$276,022
5 pics4d hd$271,694
6 destry hd$227,064
Settlement requested Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:16am PDT by pepe: all five are still top five- five wins
Settled as 'Five' Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:53am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 10th Mar 2008 4pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:53am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 10th Mar 2008 4pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (76)

76 predictions

43 weeks ago
pepe predicted Five (H$20 at 91%)
43 weeks ago
kacibo predicted Five (H$100 at 91%)
43 weeks ago
keithschom predicted Five (H$100 at 80%)
43 weeks ago
pepe predicted Five (H$136 at 68%)
43 weeks ago
dieseldog predicted Four (H$50 at 36%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 satyaki
net worth or quarterly gains??
posted 44 weeks ago
  2 epicur
Not that it is very likely, but shouldn't there be a selection for zero in the top five?
posted 44 weeks ago
  3 rohan
@ satyaki:Net worth

@ epicur: Yeah, you're right, missed it. Will be voided if it happens

posted 44 weeks ago

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