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How many participants will there be in the first HubDub Forum weekly contest

Settled as 21-30

Settled as 21

http://hubdubforum.com/viewtopic.php?p=111

Background:

HubDub Forum (www.hubdubforum.com) is having their first weekly HubDub contest. Registration for the contest ends at 12:00 PM Eastern time on the 17th of Feb.


Settlement details: As listed on the HubDub Forum (www.hubdubforum.com) weekly contest page.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

1-10
0%
11-20
6%
21-30
8%
More than 30
86%
Activity: H$44,536
Settled as 21-30 on Sun 17th Feb 2008 3:25pm PST

Suspend date: Sun 17th Feb 2008 9am PST Settlement date: Sun 17th Feb 2008 3:25pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 17th Feb 2008 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1-10: 35%, 11-20: 35%, 21-30: 20%, More than 30: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 4th Feb 2008 6:06pm PST by tarheelv
Edited Sun 10th Feb 2008 6:54pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Sun 17th Feb 2008 9am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 17th Feb 2008 2pm PST by tarheelv: There are 21 people competing this week:

http://hubdubforum.com/viewtopic.php?p=111
Settled as '21-30' Sun 17th Feb 2008 3:25pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Settled as 21

http://hubdubforum.com/viewtopic.php?p=111

Suspend date: Sun 17th Feb 2008 9am PST Settlement date: Sun 17th Feb 2008 3:25pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 17th Feb 2008 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (98)

98 predictions

46 weeks ago
klausmitte predicted More than 30 (H$50 at 78%)
46 weeks ago
pics4d predicted More than 30 (H$5,000 at 70%)
46 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted 21-30 (H$100 at 26%)
46 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted More than 30 (H$100 at 41%)
46 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted More than 30 (H$100 at 39%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 jericho
This seems more like a spam question, not that I am opposed to the forum. The question isn't news, its a link to a forum.

That and the outcome can be directly manipulated.if i voted for 21 and only 20 sign up I myself could sign up.
posted 48 weeks ago
  2 tarheelv
While it might be considered spam if I was making any money at all on the forum, as it is, there is no advertising, nothing at all at that site that generates any income at all. Yes, I am hoping to drive traffic to the forum, to help build the community, but the fact is if you go to look and don't sign up, no harm no foul. Lastly, the wording of the question might allow one to manipulate, this is true. So, I am changing the sign up rules for the contest to where those who want to participate will send me a message and I will post the list after this wager closes.

As for manipulating
posted 48 weeks ago
  3 tarheelv
Hmm...comment too long I guess. I have changed the rules to where those who want to participate are to send me a message on the board instead of publicly listing their intentions. I will post the list of participants after this question is suspended.
posted 48 weeks ago
  4 rohan
I assume you won't wager tarheelv?
posted 48 weeks ago
  5 tarheelv
Absolutely not, but a fair question

www.hubdubforum.com
posted 48 weeks ago
  6 swilson
How do we know how many have signed up? I assume we need to go to the forum and count on a regular basis? Any easier way?
posted 47 weeks ago
  7 rohan
You can't find out..that's the whole point
posted 47 weeks ago
  8 golwar
Questions on hubdub itself should be banned anyways, sooner or later it will spoil the game.
posted 47 weeks ago
  9 steph
Now Hubdub questions have their own category! I guess the site admins decided against banning these questions. Probably because there are so many of questions like this one!

= )
posted 47 weeks ago

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