Created Thu 14th Feb 2008 3:26pm PST by
sjberwick
How many results will a Google search for 'Switchy McSwitchenstein' yield by the end of April 2008?
Voided
Too easy to game; results differ by user; Google search questions now banned (Rule 2.2.5)
Background:>
Background: A search for 'Switchy McSwitchenstein' currently yields one result. If it to become a viral internet meme it will have to yield a lot more than that...
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream Google.
| 0 result |
| |||
| 1 result |
| |||
| 2-10 results |
| |||
| 11-100 results |
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| 101-1000 results |
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| 1000+ results |
|
Voided Fri 14th Mar 2008 5:41am PST
- Activity: H$25,838 |
- Predictions: 62 |
Comments: 9
Suspend date: Wed 30th Apr 2008 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: 0 result: 20%, 1 result: 30%, 2-10 results: 20%, 11-100 results: 15%, 101-1000 results: 10%, 1000+ results: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 30th Apr 2008 11:59pm PST details








Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
I found this from Googling "Switchy McSwitchenstein". It gives this very question as an example of an easily gamed question by the many in prediction markets. I only get 12 results (not 65), so I'm leaning in the "void" direction on this one.
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