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Created Thu 6th Mar 2008 10:33am PST by monkiss
All questions » General » Other » 

How many shark attacks will there be in Florida between March 7 and September 7, 2008?

Settled as 20 or more

After reading through both sites and looking at the news stories regarding shark attacks there are 20 or more attacks which occurred in Florida waters, in the timeframe specified
http://swimatyourownrisk.com/?s=florida
http://www.news-journalonline.com/special/sharkattacks/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Less than 5
4%
6-10
2%
11-19
5%
20 or more
90%
Activity: H$44,682
Settled as 20 or more on Thu 11th Sep 2008 12:03pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 8th Sep 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 11th Sep 2008 12:03pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 8th Sep 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 5: 25%, 6-10: 25%, 11-19: 25%, 20 or more: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 6th Mar 2008 10:33am PST by monkiss
Edited Tue 11th Mar 2008 1:42am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]
Edited Tue 11th Mar 2008 2:14am PDT by diana
Suspended Mon 8th Sep 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 11th Sep 2008 11:11am PDT by tedwinder: Isn't it about time?
Settled as '20 or more' Thu 11th Sep 2008 12:03pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: After reading through both sites and looking at the news stories regarding shark attacks there are 20 or more attacks which occurred in Florida waters, in the timeframe specified
http://swimatyourownrisk.com/?s=florida
http://www.news-journalonline.com/special/sharkattacks/

Suspend date: Mon 8th Sep 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 11th Sep 2008 12:03pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 8th Sep 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (64)

64 predictions

17 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted 11-19 (H$50 at 9%)
17 weeks ago
misnomer predicted 11-19 (H$100 at 6%)
17 weeks ago
bency predicted 20 or more (H$100 at 95%)
17 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted 20 or more (H$160 at 95%)
17 weeks ago
piterwilson predicted 20 or more (H$630 at 94%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 sdchargers[Power User]
I am not sure what site is going to be used for settlement. But there has already been 18 (17 since march 7) in Volusia County alone according to
http://www.news-journalonline.com/special/sharkattacks/

Another site has a pretty good map to view locations of shark attacks around the world.
http://swimatyourownrisk.com/
posted 19 weeks ago

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