Created Wed 13th Feb 2008 8:18am PST by yuppieman

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How many times will Presidential hopeful Barack Obama be mentioned at the Oscars?

I was watching the Oscars with some of the Hubdub staff and we counted 3 mentions of Obama and one mention of Clinton. Although the mention of Clinton was probably nothing the Clinton's needed going into March 4th (About the affair). Anyway after a long 4 hours across the pond, this is being settled as 3. To note all 3 mentions of Obama occurred in the opening monologue.

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

How many times will Presidential hopeful Barack Obama be mentioned at the Oscars?

    0-3

    4-6

    7-8

    9+

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Forecast history, %

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Settled

	0-3	43%
	4-6	23%
	7-8	22%
	9+	12%

Activity: H$15,528

Settled as 0-3 on Mon 25th Feb 2008 3:24am PST

Suspend date: Sun 24th Feb 2008 10:59am PST Settlement date: Mon 25th Feb 2008 3:24am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Feb 2008 10:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0-3: 40%, 4-6: 30%, 7-8: 15%, 9+: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 13th Feb 2008 8:18am PST by yuppieman

Suspended Sun 24th Feb 2008 10:59am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as '0-3' Mon 25th Feb 2008 3:24am PST by ryanj: I was watching the Oscars with some of the Hubdub staff and we counted 3 mentions of Obama and one mention of Clinton. Although the mention of Clinton was probably nothing the Clinton's needed going into March 4th (About the affair). Anyway after a long 4 hours across the pond, this is being settled as 3. To note all 3 mentions of Obama occurred in the opening monologue.

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Suspend date: Sun 24th Feb 2008 10:59am PST Settlement date: Mon 25th Feb 2008 3:24am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Feb 2008 10:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (110)

110 predictions

45 weeks ago

swami predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 42%)

45 weeks ago

misstia predicted 0-3 (H$20 at 40%)

45 weeks ago

youbet predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 64%)

45 weeks ago

dudeman319 predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 52%)

45 weeks ago

morgie predicted 9+ (H$50 at 5%)

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45 weeks ago

swami predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 42%)

45 weeks ago

misstia predicted 0-3 (H$20 at 40%)

45 weeks ago

youbet predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 64%)

45 weeks ago

dudeman319 predicted 0-3 (H$100 at 52%)

45 weeks ago

morgie predicted 9+ (H$50 at 5%)

45 weeks ago

tubaboy predicted 4-6 (H$50 at 15%)

45 weeks ago

cplotter predicted 0-3 (H$20 at 53%)

45 weeks ago

talangai2003 predicted 7-8 (H$20 at 28%)

45 weeks ago

zezee99 predicted 7-8 (H$20 at 28%)

45 weeks ago

joergb predicted 0-3 (H$50 at 53%)

45 weeks ago

scottmliddell predicted 4-6 (H$50 at 12%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (7)

  1 raneym

Celebs love to talk about who they are going to vote for so do u really think it will just be 3 times?

posted 46 weeks ago

  2 newswrangler

Question ought be voided due to specific Hubdub rule:

"2.3.1 Politics Category
<snip>

* Questions which refer to the number of times a certain person says a certain phrase or word in a specific speech or debate are not allowed unless there is a recognised news organization that has stated it will maintain a count."

posted 46 weeks ago

  3 ryanj

Truth although your right, since I didn't catch it and there are now bets on it, I'll leave it. I'm going to be watching the Oscars anyway so might as well. In fact I think I created a market about the oscars earlier as well.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor

posted 46 weeks ago

  4 ratel

thats good, I'm glad you can be flexible with your rules.

And remember, the question says mentioned by anyone so John Stewart saying Obama's name in the opening monologue counts too!
Ratel

posted 45 weeks ago

  5 robmar

I counted 3 times in the opening monologue

posted 45 weeks ago

  6 scott

question should be voided due to uncertainty of count... stewart must have mentioned him at least 9 times :>

posted 45 weeks ago

  7 ryanj

I was watching the Oscars with some of the Hubdub staff and we counted 3 mentions of Obama and one mention of Clinton. Although the mention of Clinton was probably nothing the Clinton's needed going into March 4th (About the affair). Anyway after a long 4 hours across the pond, this is being settled as 3.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor

posted 45 weeks ago

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