How many times will the Olympic torch be extinguished by protesters during the torch relay? (while outside China only)
Settled as None
Torch relay will be held from March 25 until May 3. How many times the torch flame will be extinguished BY PROTESTERS? (will not count if extinguished by the country authorities, such as what happened in Paris, France - see CNN.com at
http://tinyurl.com/4g9sat )
Settlement details:
To set the number of times only the incidents OUTSIDE the mainland China will be considered. Number will be counted only when the flame is extinguished by a protester itself - not by authorities. Torch relay will take place from April 2 (Almaty/Kazakhstan) until May 3 (Macau/Special Administrative Region).
As reported by a major mainstream news source. As for a second source, http://www.freetibet.org/ maybe considerated also.
How many times will the Olympic torch be extinguished by protesters during the torch relay? (while outside China only)
None
From 1-3 times
From 4-6 times
From 7-10 times
From 11-15 times
More than 16 times
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
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| None | |
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| From 1-3 times | |
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| From 4-6 times | |
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| From 7-10 times | |
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| From 11-15 times | |
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| More than 16 times | |
Activity: H$22,399
Settled as
None on Wed 7th May 2008 3:27pm PDT
Suspend date: Sat 3rd May 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 7th May 2008 3:27pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 3rd May 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
None: 10%, From 1-3 times: 25%, From 4-6 times: 25%, From 7-10 times: 20%, From 11-15 times: 15%, More than 16 times: 5%
Action history:
Created Mon 7th Apr 2008 12:50pm PDT by
aventura
Suspended Sat 3rd May 2008 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Sat 3rd May 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 7th May 2008 3:27pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 3rd May 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (57)
57 predictions
36 weeks ago
antagonist
predicted
From 1-3 times (H$100 at 3%)
36 weeks ago
whtimo
predicted
None (H$447 at 91%)
36 weeks ago
kismet
predicted
None (H$282 at 89%)
more36 weeks ago
antagonist
predicted
From 1-3 times (H$100 at 3%)
36 weeks ago
whtimo
predicted
None (H$447 at 91%)
36 weeks ago
kismet
predicted
None (H$282 at 89%)
37 weeks ago
bododavid
predicted
From 1-3 times (H$40 at 9%)
37 weeks ago
whtimo
predicted
None (H$2,238 at 84%)
37 weeks ago
kruijs![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
From 1-3 times (H$100 at 18%)
37 weeks ago
whtimo
predicted
None (H$2,500 at 80%)
37 weeks ago
robmar
predicted
None (H$500 at 66%)
37 weeks ago
whatsup
predicted
None (H$50 at 60%)
37 weeks ago
bipper
predicted
None (H$156 at 59%)
37 weeks ago
kruijs![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
None (H$500 at 53%)
38 weeks ago
gnorbl
predicted
From 1-3 times (H$100 at 41%)
38 weeks ago
robmar
predicted
None (H$400 at 46%)
38 weeks ago
fabio
predicted
None (H$20 at 41%)
38 weeks ago
ladylara
predicted
From 1-3 times (H$50 at 46%)
38 weeks ago
robmar
predicted
None (H$300 at 38%)
38 weeks ago
whtimo
predicted
None (H$100 at 33%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (11)
"Chinese organizers finally gave up on the relay, canceling the last third of what China had hoped would be a joyous jog by torch-bearing VIPs past some of Paris' most famous landmarks."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080407/ap_on_re_eu/olympic_torch
Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
HD should arrange for a Category Editor to accompany the torch relay around the world (excluding China). First class airfare is necessary, four-star hotels, chauffeured car, modest clothing allowance in order to be appropriate in all cultures, full media and security credentials, generous per diem allowance, and of course, one of those .99 cent/pence plastic "counter/clickers".
The only "tricky" part is finding a Category Manager willing to go.
Lesley.
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