How many tornadoes, with a least one fatality, will there be in the U.S. during March 2008?

Suspend date: Mon 31st Mar 9pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Apr 12:01am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 31st Mar 9pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 or 1: 6%, 2 or 3: 7%, 4 or 5: 21%, 6 or 7: 28%, 8 or 9: 17%, 10 or 11: 11%, 12 or 13: 4%, 14 or 15: 3%, 16 or 17: 2%, 18 or More: 1%

Action history:

Created Tue 12th Feb 10:52am PST by hubdubbob

Suspended Tue 26th Feb 9pm PST : Suspend date reached

Edited Sun 9th Mar 12:16pm PDT by diana

Edited Mon 10th Mar 4:32am PDT by tisha

Settlement requested Mon 31st Mar 6:16am PDT by rohan: Not a settlement request, rather a suggestion of a source so you can settle tomorrow.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/monthlytornstats.pdf

Look under "Killer Tornadoes"

Suspended Mon 31st Mar 9pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settled as '2 or 3' Tue 1st Apr 12:01am PDT by dejman: As reported on Storm Prediction Centre http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/monthlytornstats.html

Suspend date: Mon 31st Mar 9pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Apr 12:01am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 31st Mar 9pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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