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How many units of it's PS3 will Sony sell in 2008?

Current forecast: 3 Million to 4.5 Million (29% chance3%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 3 Million to 4.5 Million with a probability of 29% (down 3% in last 1 day)

To be settled after January 1st, based on official sales numbers as widely reported...


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Fewer than 3 Million
15%
3 Million to 4.5 Million
29%
More than 4.5 to 6 Million
26%
More than 6 Million to 7.5 Million
19%
More than 7.5 Million
11%
Activity: H$790
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Fewer than 3 Million: 20%, 3 Million to 4.5 Million: 27%, More than 4.5 to 6 Million: 28%, More than 6 Million to 7.5 Million: 20%, More than 7.5 Million: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 2nd Apr 5:29pm PDT by theonecalledmichael

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

5 weeks ago
astrosfan960 predicted 3 Million to 4.5 Million (H$50 at 27%)
5 weeks ago
growthy predicted More than 4.5 to 6 Million (H$100 at 26%)
27 weeks ago
not508compliant predicted More than 7.5 Million (H$200 at 7%)
27 weeks ago
not508compliant predicted More than 7.5 Million (H$100 at 6%)
27 weeks ago
not508compliant predicted More than 7.5 Million (H$50 at 7%)
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