Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

How many views will the "Hillary Clinton Bosnia Trip" receive by April 1st?

Settled as 1,600,000-1,999,999

At time of settlement views had not breached 1,999,999

Background:

The Youtube video showing Hillary Clinton's "uneventful" landing in Bosnia is here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BfNqhV5hg4


Settlement details: As reported by list of views on Youtube taken on April 1st 12:59. A screenshot will be provided.

The video which is being used for settlement is this one: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BfNqhV5hg4

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

1,600,000-1,999,999
98%
2,000,000-2,200,999
1%
2,201,000-2.499,000
1%
Over 2,499,000
0%
Activity: H$31,985
Settled as 1,600,000-1,999,999 on Wed 2nd Apr 2008 7:16am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 2nd Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 2nd Apr 2008 7:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 2nd Apr 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1,600,000-1,999,999: 50%, 2,000,000-2,200,999: 30%, 2,201,000-2.499,000: 10%, Over 2,499,000: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Mar 2008 8:44am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Thu 27th Mar 2008 10:41am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Wed 2nd Apr 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 2nd Apr 2008 4:24am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Views: 1,830,607

Settled as '1,600,000-1,999,999' Wed 2nd Apr 2008 7:16am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: At time of settlement views had not breached 1,999,999

Suspend date: Wed 2nd Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 2nd Apr 2008 7:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 2nd Apr 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (135)

135 predictions

40 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Over 2,499,000 (H$5 at 0%)
40 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted 2,201,000-2.499,000 (H$5 at 1%)
40 weeks ago
vasilii predicted 1,600,000-1,999,999 (H$3,500 at 96%)
40 weeks ago
triathematician predicted 1,600,000-1,999,999 (H$200 at 92%)
40 weeks ago
phred predicted 2,000,000-2,200,999 (H$100 at 3%)

Comments (4)

Hey good question. I was thinking of doing something similar with the "Yes We Can" video last month but wasn't sure about the settlement. You also saved me the effort of looking it up as I haven't seen it yet. There's one more view!
posted 41 weeks ago
  2 ryanj[Admin]
Would be kind of funny if we get some dedicated users who decide to view the video continuously so they can game the market :-)

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 41 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
what happens if it don't get 1.6 millon views by april 1st?
posted 41 weeks ago
Views: 1,636,898 @ 7:53EST mar 28.. This one is going up, up, up! (only 4 of those are mine, so I think others much be watching it too..)
posted 41 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more