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How many views will the "Hillary Clinton Bosnia Trip" receive by April 1st?

Settled as 1,600,000-1,999,999

At time of settlement views had not breached 1,999,999

Background:

Background: The Youtube video showing Hillary Clinton's "uneventful" landing in Bosnia is here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BfNqhV5hg4

Settlement details:As reported by list of views on Youtube taken on April 1st 12:59. A screenshot will be provided.

The video which is being used for settlement is this one: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BfNqhV5hg4

 
Forecast history %
1,600,000-1,999,999
98%
2,000,000-2,200,999
1%
2,201,000-2.499,000
1%
Over 2,499,000
0%
Settled as 1,600,000-1,999,999 on Wed 2nd Apr 2008 6:16am PST

Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 2nd Apr 2008 6:16am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Apr 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1,600,000-1,999,999: 50%, 2,000,000-2,200,999: 30%, 2,201,000-2.499,000: 10%, Over 2,499,000: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Mar 2008 7:44am PST by ryanj
Edited Thu 27th Mar 2008 9:41am PST by ryanj
Suspended Tue 1st Apr 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 2nd Apr 2008 3:24am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Views: 1,830,607

Settled as '1,600,000-1,999,999' Wed 2nd Apr 2008 6:16am PST by ryanj: At time of settlement views had not breached 1,999,999

Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 2nd Apr 2008 6:16am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Apr 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (135)

1 year ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Over 2,499,000 (H$5 at 0%)
1 year ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted 2,201,000-2.499,000 (H$5 at 1%)
1 year ago
vasilii predicted 1,600,000-1,999,999 (H$3,500 at 96%)
1 year ago
triathematician predicted 1,600,000-1,999,999 (H$200 at 92%)
1 year ago
phred predicted 2,000,000-2,200,999 (H$100 at 3%)

Comments (4)

Hey good question. I was thinking of doing something similar with the "Yes We Can" video last month but wasn't sure about the settlement. You also saved me the effort of looking it up as I haven't seen it yet. There's one more view!
posted 1 year ago
  2 ryanj
Would be kind of funny if we get some dedicated users who decide to view the video continuously so they can game the market :-)

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 1 year ago
  3 dieseldog
what happens if it don't get 1.6 millon views by april 1st?
posted 1 year ago
Views: 1,636,898 @ 7:53EST mar 28.. This one is going up, up, up! (only 4 of those are mine, so I think others much be watching it too..)
posted 1 year ago

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