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How much will Digg sell for?

Current forecast: less than $300m (59% chance12%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is less than $300m with a probability of 59% (down 12% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by the New York Times

 
Forecast history, %
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less than $300m
59%
between $300m and $500m
14%
between $500m and $1Bn
5%
greater than $1Bn
22%
Activity: H$42,470
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: less than $300m: 25%, between $300m and $500m: 25%, between $500m and $1Bn: 25%, greater than $1Bn: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 18th Jan 5:41pm PST by sandy
Edited Tue 18th Mar 12:24pm PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: None
more info...

 

Predictions (84)

84 predictions

9 weeks ago
frederickwillner predicted greater than $1Bn (H$500 at 10%)
9 weeks ago
tresk predicted less than $300m (H$20 at 75%)
9 weeks ago
javurek predicted less than $300m (H$20 at 72%)
9 weeks ago
alihahd predicted between $300m and $500m (H$100 at 18%)
9 weeks ago
jepelde predicted between $300m and $500m (H$20 at 16%)
more

Comments (4)

  2 tisha[Admin]
Wow - seems like the asking price has plummeted since Digg first put itself on the market!

Don't know why google didn't just make their own digg, but here's a video of google experimenting with diggifying their search results ...
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/07/16/is-this-the-future-of-search/
posted 18 weeks ago
  3 cognos[Power User]
Google leaves Digg at the altar.

http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/07/26/google-walks-away-from-digg-deal/
posted 18 weeks ago
digg is useless. why wud anyone buy it eh
posted 10 weeks ago

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