meanderingsearcher
How much will the painting "La Surprise" sell for when it is auctioned in July?
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g0oMQzR117Nb6BjwH9it1bPyJHpQ
Background:
The only other known version of the piece is a copy in the Royal Collection at Buckingham Palace.
http://www.cbc.ca/arts/artdesign/story/2008/03/25/watteau-found.html
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source or Cristie's Auction house website
Settled
| less than $6 million (usd) |
| |||
| $6,000,000 to $7,999,999 (usd) |
| |||
| $8,000,000 to $9,999,999 (usd) |
| |||
| $10,000,000 to $11,999,999 (usd) |
| |||
| more than $12 million (usd) |
|
Suspend date: Tue 8th Jul 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 9th Jul 2008 8:36am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 8th Jul 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: less than $6 million (usd): 10%, $6,000,000 to $7,999,999 (usd): 15%, $8,000,000 to $9,999,999 (usd): 15%, $10,000,000 to $11,999,999 (usd): 20%, more than $12 million (usd): 40%
Action history:
meanderingsearcher 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Market edited by giving correct suspend date of July 7th, as well as editing market title to include end date. 
diana
orlin
: AFP: "Watteau's "La Surprise" sold for 12.4 million pounds (15.5 million euros or 24.4 million dollars)"
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g0oMQzR117Nb6BjwH9it1bPyJHpQ
ryanj: http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g0oMQzR117Nb6BjwH9it1bPyJHpQ
Suspend date: Tue 8th Jul 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 9th Jul 2008 8:36am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 8th Jul 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (41)
41 predictions
snord
allenger
predicted $8,000,000 to $9,999,999 (usd) (H$20 at 19%)
predicted $10,000,000 to $11,999,999 (usd) (H$76 at 35%)
lovethenews
predicted $10,000,000 to $11,999,999 (usd) (H$300 at 30%)
philm
predicted $10,000,000 to $11,999,999 (usd) (H$100 at 24%)
predicted $10,000,000 to $11,999,999 (usd) (H$50 at 22%)
jchiang
kiwifire
lachapin
vanhoutComments (12)
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More questions by
meanderingsearcher
145 settled, 40 voided
(I know the conversion rate is not far away from 1, so I'm not asking to void because of this)
STAND UP AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE COMPUTER
DO NOT SIT BACK DOWN UNTIL YOU HAVE CHECKED EVERY NOOK AND CRANNY OF YOUR HOME FOR A PAINTING THAT YOU KNOW NOTHING ABOUT
http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/World/2008/03/31/5155241-ap.html
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