theonecalledmichael
How will Florida's delegates be divided between Obama and Clinton?
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/31/dems.delegates/index.html
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
| They won't be allocated at all (may or may not be seated at convention, but WILL NOT have votes) |
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| Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention |
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| Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate |
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| All of them split based on the final delegate counts of each candidate |
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| Allocated based on new primary, caucus, mail-in vote, or other so-called "re-do" |
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| Allocated based on Florida Superdelegate polls for each candidate |
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| Coin Toss, or bowling match: winner take all! |
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| Some other way |
|
Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 31st May 2008 8pm PDT
Initial likelihoods: They won't be allocated at all (may or may not be seated at convention, but WILL NOT have votes): 20%, Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention: 20%, Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate: 20%, All of them split based on the final delegate counts of each candidate: 20%, Allocated based on new primary, caucus, mail-in vote, or other so-called "re-do": 5%, Allocated based on Florida Superdelegate polls for each candidate: 5%, Coin Toss, or bowling match: winner take all!: 1%, Some other way: 9%
Action history:
theonecalledmichael 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Market settle date edited due to Rules and by laws meeting on the 31st of May 
destry
: Flagged by super user: Market suspended. Outcome of event about to be determined. ryanj: http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/31/dems.delegates/index.html
Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 31st May 2008 8pm PDT
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (75)
75 predictions
derekkraan
predicted Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention (H$50 at 6%)
syrus0alpha1
predicted Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate (H$100 at 3%)
myunion
dragon01
predicted Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention (H$20 at 5%)
jerry
predicted Some other way (H$20 at 74%)
capecodviking
predicted Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention (H$20 at 5%)
sdchargers![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Coin Toss, or bowling match: winner take all! (H$1 at 0%)
triathematician
rbrog77
predicted Some other way (H$100 at 25%)Comments (1)
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