theonecalledmichael How will the Michigan Delegates be divided between Clinton and Obama?
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/31/dems.delegates/index.html
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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They won't be allocated at all (may or may not be seated at convention, but WILL NOT have votes) |
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Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention |
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Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate |
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All of them split based on the final delegate counts of each candidate |
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Allocated based on new primary, caucus, mail-in vote, or other so-called "re-do" |
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Allocated based on Michigan Superdelegate polls for each candidate |
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Coin Toss, or bowling match: winner take all! |
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Some other way |
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Suspend date: Sat 31st May 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 10:03am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 4:20pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: They won't be allocated at all (may or may not be seated at convention, but WILL NOT have votes): 20%, Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention: 20%, Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate: 20%, All of them split based on the final delegate counts of each candidate: 20%, Allocated based on new primary, caucus, mail-in vote, or other so-called "re-do": 5%, Allocated based on Michigan Superdelegate polls for each candidate: 5%, Coin Toss, or bowling match: winner take all!: 1%, Some other way: 9%
Action history:
theonecalledmichael 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Market settle date edited due to Rules and by laws meeting on the 31st of May ryanj: http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/31/dems.delegates/index.html
Suspend date: Sat 31st May 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 10:03am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 4:20pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (100)
100 predictions
opie predicted Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate (H$50 at 5%)
triathematician predicted Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention (H$100 at 29%)
piterwilson
capecodviking predicted Split evenly, so that the state is represented at the convention (H$20 at 19%)
rbrog77
hubdubbob
jenniandboys
myunion
bout3fittyComments (3)
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More questions by
theonecalledmichael
36 settled, 18 voided
Half of them allocated according to the primary, the other half according to final delegate counts of each candidate
If the first half are allocated by the primary results but the second half are awarded based on each candidate's share of the popular vote, that would mean the question would be settled as "some other way," right? I ask because this is one of the proposals floating around and although the results might be the same, the method to achieve them would be worded differently.
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