If Fidel Castro dies in 2008, in which month will that happen?

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: February or March: 15%, April or May: 15%, Juni or July: 15%, August or September: 15%, Oktober or November: 15%, December: 25%

Action history:

Created Mon 11th Feb 2008 6:16am PST by seasickpirate

Suspended Tue 2nd Dec 2008 2:37am PST by infernalmachine: This question is under discussion by admin regarding proper suspend date.

Unsuspended Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:23am PST by infernalmachine: Changing suspend notice. Immediately resuspending because there is no predictive element left to the question, although it may not settle until the end of the month (it would then be voided based on the protocol for "if" questions).

Suspended Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:26am PST by infernalmachine: Clearly the only possible correct answer is December. If Castro is still alive in 2009, it is voided per the rules for "if" questions. So there is no predictive value left to the question (ie no risk to picking December), so it will remain suspended until it settles or is voided on Jan 1.

Voided Wed 31st Dec 2008 9:08pm PST by infernalmachine: Castro did not die in 2008.

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
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