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Created Tue 29th Jan 11:43pm PST by inkboi
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Will Condelezza Rice be McCain’s Vice Presidential nominee?

Hubdub users say: No (92% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No with a probability of 92% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Some Suggest Condolezza Will Be McCain's Vice Presidential nominee if he wins.
 
% chance over time
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Make your prediction!

 Yes
8%
No
92%
Activity: H$144,022
Question suspends in 1 week
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If he does not win the nomination this question will be voided.


Suspend date: Sat 2nd Aug 12:59am PDT (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 11:43pm PST by inkboi
Settlement requested Sat 1st Mar 6:15am PST by pup124: Ms. Rice has been on public record stating that she would not accept a nomination for VP and will serve her entire term
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If he does not win the nomination this question will be voided. ... read all

 
Comments
 
Predictions
 

Recent predictions

5 days ago
intlibber predicted Yes (H$50)
6 days ago
excontender predicted No (H$100)
6 days ago
talangai2003 predicted No (H$50)
1 week ago
br0kenmagik predicted No (H$100)
1 week ago
falcon2000eg predicted No (H$100)
1 week ago
natsthename predicted No (H$50)
1 week ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$1,000)
1 week ago
shoplife predicted No (H$100)
1 week ago
stactimes predicted No (H$100)
1 week ago
amanda_rae predicted No (H$100)
  1 ryanj[Admin]
Edited to make the question seem clearer. This will be voided if McCain does not win.
posted 25 weeks ago
  2 cancelledbysbc
It Should Be Pretty Obvious That If McCain Lost The Question Would Be Voided!
thedoctor Are You A Moderater Or A Participant And If You Are A Moderater Should You Really Be Participating (Voting) ?
posted 25 weeks ago
  3 shadowfax
why did this start out at 90%? what news info would justify that? any help appreciated...
posted 24 weeks ago
  4 ryanj[Admin]
Cancelled I'm a Category Editor, covering U.S Politics. It might be obvious to you but I want to make things as clear as possible, so we don't have confusion. Shadow you can start your likelihoods at the highest 95%.
posted 24 weeks ago
  5 dohler
I think shadowfax was questioning whether there is any support for a 90% starting value based on current news reports. Who has suggested this? If it is anyone less than John McCain himself or a powerful GOP insider, a starting value of 90% Yes to this question would seem to be grossly out of line with the available information.
posted 23 weeks ago
  6 swilson
I agree with shadowax and dohler here. In order to justify anything greater than 50%, there would have to be some indication to support that. So far as I am aware, the first to imply this may be a possibility is thedoctor.
posted 23 weeks ago
  7 Erik
I gotta agree. Why in the world would this start at 90%? I won't be a part of this scam!
posted 20 weeks ago
  8 ryanj[Admin]
There are so many bets on this, and as I didn't catch it before more then 150 bets were put on it. Even if it is a gaming market, although there were rumors of a possible VP run by Rice until she denounced it, I'll keep it with such a large amount of votes on it.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 20 weeks ago
  9 jamalpeter
Now that AP and Reuters are naming Rice among those who authorized torture, I think you can almost settle this one as "No".
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/I/INTERROGATION_TACTICS?SITE=IADES&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
posted 14 weeks ago
  10 mork[Power User]
he might choose this guy:
http://www.canadiandimension.com/blog/2008/05/mccains-spiritual-guide/
posted 10 weeks ago
  11 ironman288
lol mork. that guy was indeed crazy, almost as bad as the good reverend wright!
posted 9 weeks ago
  12 Erik
Rice has said that she has no interest in elective office. Therefore, this should settle as NO, per the spitzer rule
posted 6 weeks ago
  13 mork[Power User]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8G9jA-FGGd8
posted 3 weeks ago

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Related tags

john mccain condoleeza rice secretary of state

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Running Interference .

National Journal 2 days ago
that in a cable sent on the even of Barack Obama's trip to the Middle East and Europe, Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice 'instructed U.S. overseas missions to provide only minimal support to foreign visits by the two main presidential candidates, Sens.

score: 10
Did Oliver Stone Consider Snoop Dogg for Condoleeza Rice? .

Rope of Silicon 3 days ago
Conan O'Brien had on John McCain this past week and besides being a pretty good sport with a fake falling asleep moment, McCain sat back and had a laugh while Conan played a 'what if'

score: 10
Vice Presidential Search Process May Not Be As Secret As It Seems .

Tampa Tribune 3 days ago
For all the lengths Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain have gone to in keeping their hunt for a vice president under wraps, their deliberations are in some ways being conducted in plain sight. As the process unfolds, strategic

score: 10
Condoleeza Rice to visit Perth next week .

The West Online 4 days ago
United States Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice will visit Perth on Thursday and Friday next week. Foreign Minister Stephen Smith confirmed Dr Rice's visit today, which will be only the second visit to

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