If Obama loses the Super Tuesday delegate race will he dropout of the 08 race?
Voided
As Obama has lost Nevada and is now expecting a harder then anticipated race in South Carolina, for the moment he is at his weakest moment. If he looses on Super Tuesday by a large margin his ability to win the campaign would be gone.
Settlement details:
If Obama loses on Super Tuesday and announces in the following week that he is dropping out of the race, it is counted as a yes, if not a no. Also, a Obama win will result in a "no" settlement
Suspend date: Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Action history:
Voided Tue 29th Jan 2008 9:36am PST
Suspend date: Wed 6th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST
more info...
Predictions (328)
328 predictions
Comments (4)
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