In the next Democratic debate, will the topic of, or comment about Eliot Spitzer come up?
Settled as No
After reviewing the debate no comment came up regarding Spitzer
Background:>
The recent news of Eliot Spitzer brings in issue of hypocritical politicians to the front pages again. Will he be mentioned in the next Democratic debate?
Settlement details:
As shown in the debate. This question will be settled if any candidate, moderator, or question mentions Spitzer or politician/prostitution acts.
In the next Democratic debate, will the topic of, or comment about Eliot Spitzer come up?
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Forecast history, %
Settled
Activity: H$28,070
Settled as
No on Thu 17th Apr 2008 8:43am PDT
Suspend date: Wed 16th Apr 2008 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 17th Apr 2008 8:43am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 16th Apr 2008 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 75%
Action history:
Created Fri 14th Mar 2008 12pm PDT by
coeus
Settlement requested Mon 14th Apr 2008 6:28am PDT by
bcguelph
:
Minimally, suspend - the debate was last night.
There was no mention of Spitzer, so this can be settled.
Settlement requested Wed 16th Apr 2008 7:55pm PDT by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
Debate over now, no Spitzer talk. (This should have suspended a couple of hours ago)
Suspended Wed 16th Apr 2008 9:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Thu 17th Apr 2008 8:43am PDT by
ryanj![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
After reviewing the debate no comment came up regarding Spitzer
Suspend date: Wed 16th Apr 2008 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 17th Apr 2008 8:43am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 16th Apr 2008 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (93)
93 predictions
38 weeks ago
pup124
predicted
Yes (H$300 at 21%)
38 weeks ago
bulog
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 20%)
38 weeks ago
schmuelix
predicted
Yes (H$50 at 19%)
38 weeks ago
inertia
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 19%)
38 weeks ago
johnd
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 19%)
more38 weeks ago
pup124
predicted
Yes (H$300 at 21%)
38 weeks ago
bulog
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 20%)
38 weeks ago
schmuelix
predicted
Yes (H$50 at 19%)
38 weeks ago
inertia
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 19%)
38 weeks ago
johnd
predicted
Yes (H$20 at 19%)
38 weeks ago
cici
predicted
No (H$100 at 80%)
38 weeks ago
henrichin
predicted
No (H$20 at 80%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (6)
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
BUT not slow enough to miss that there are going to be problems with this question. Like the Oscars' question: will an award winner mention IRAQ. One mentioned a city IN Iraq, but not the EXACT WORD Iraq, and we all lost a good deal of money on that one. Watch and See: the subject will be mentioned, but the wrongs words will be used, and the answer will be disallowed...and you will lose...
Again, the verdict will be: "close" but "no prize".
I think I have just answered my own question: as long as anyone on the program brings up the subject -- whether announcer, questioner, audience member or candidate -- and UTTERS THE MAGIC WORDS, it will be taken as a YES settlement. So the real concentration is on ANYONE saying "the words that qualify". (My original thinking had been in terms of what the candidates would discuss...)
bc of above arguments
"This question will be settled if any candidate, moderator, or question mentions Spitzer or politician/prostitution acts."
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
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